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政治·驅逐

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？

Market icon
政治·驅逐

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？

是

73% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

73% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 71.5% for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) exiting her US House seat by May 31, driven by the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding her guilty on over two dozen violations tied to her indictment for diverting $5 million in FEMA relief funds to her campaign. The full committee, post-April recess, is set to recommend sanctions—expulsion looms as Republicans signal floor action, with some Democrats like state Rep. Marie Perez urging resignation. Cherfilus-McCormick has rejected stepping down, heightening expulsion prospects amid bipartisan pressure. House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent comments hint at imminent resolution, though a two-thirds vote is required for expulsion before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,874
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 71.5% for Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL) exiting her US House seat by May 31, driven by the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding her guilty on over two dozen violations tied to her indictment for diverting $5 million in FEMA relief funds to her campaign. The full committee, post-April recess, is set to recommend sanctions—expulsion looms as Republicans signal floor action, with some Democrats like state Rep. Marie Perez urging resignation. Cherfilus-McCormick has rejected stepping down, heightening expulsion prospects amid bipartisan pressure. House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent comments hint at imminent resolution, though a two-thirds vote is required for expulsion before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,874
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 是否會在5月31日前卸任美國眾議員？" at 73%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？" is "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 是否會在5月31日前卸任美國眾議員？" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick在5月31日前出任美國代表？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.