**SPCX's trader consensus shows tight clustering around the $135–$165 range with several bins near 49.5% implied probability, driven by the stock's post-IPO volatility and divergent views on growth durability.** After debuting at $135 in June 2026 and peaking near $226, shares have corrected to $152.71 as of September 18 amid a $2.07 trillion market cap, with analysts citing 70x+ sales multiples against $23 billion trailing revenue and mixed profitability. Bullish factors include Morgan Stanley's reiterated $300 target and Starlink/AI infrastructure momentum, while caution stems from capital intensity, lock-up expirations, and execution risks on Starship. Absent major catalysts in the immediate week, positioning reflects skin-in-the-game uncertainty over whether near-term revenue trajectories or macro sentiment will resolve the spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於150美元–155美元 59%
$170-$175 50%
$130-$135 49%
$155-$160 49%
低於 130 美元
45%
$130-$135
49%
$135-$140
47%
$140-$145
11%
$145-$150
20%
150美元–155美元
59%
$155-$160
49%
160至165美元
49%
$165-$170
48%
$170-$175
50%
高於175美元
48%
150美元–155美元 59%
$170-$175 50%
$130-$135 49%
$155-$160 49%
低於 130 美元
45%
$130-$135
49%
$135-$140
47%
$140-$145
11%
$145-$150
20%
150美元–155美元
59%
$155-$160
49%
160至165美元
49%
$165-$170
48%
$170-$175
50%
高於175美元
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
**SPCX's trader consensus shows tight clustering around the $135–$165 range with several bins near 49.5% implied probability, driven by the stock's post-IPO volatility and divergent views on growth durability.** After debuting at $135 in June 2026 and peaking near $226, shares have corrected to $152.71 as of September 18 amid a $2.07 trillion market cap, with analysts citing 70x+ sales multiples against $23 billion trailing revenue and mixed profitability. Bullish factors include Morgan Stanley's reiterated $300 target and Starlink/AI infrastructure momentum, while caution stems from capital intensity, lock-up expirations, and execution risks on Starship. Absent major catalysts in the immediate week, positioning reflects skin-in-the-game uncertainty over whether near-term revenue trajectories or macro sentiment will resolve the spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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