Trader consensus on the Sucre mayoral election positions Enrique Leaño as frontrunner at 50.9% implied probability, driven by consistent polling leads of 35-45% from recent Ciesmori and other surveys, bolstered by his Comunidad Ciudadana affiliation and focus on infrastructure improvements amid local voter priorities. Cristian Sanabria trails at 25% as the MAS candidate, facing headwinds from national party divisions and Evo Morales' influence disputes. Juan Antonio Jesús and Pablo Arízaga each hover near 11%, drawing evangelical and independent support respectively, while Hebert Marcelo Terrazas holds 10.8% via regional ties. A pivotal October 2024 debate showcased Leaño's edge on economic issues, widening his lead and lifting odds; final pre-election polls expected soon could catalyze further shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Enrique Leaño 50.2%
克里斯蒂安·薩納布里亞 6%
威爾伯·喬卡馬尼 4.5%
霍拉西奧·波佩 3.6%
$23,812 交易量
$23,812 交易量

Enrique Leaño
50%

克里斯蒂安·薩納布里亞
18%

威爾伯·喬卡馬尼
5%

霍拉西奧·波佩
4%

胡安·安東尼奧·赫蘇斯
10%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
3%

理查德·莫斯科索
3%

巴布羅·阿里薩加
10%

法蘭茲·塔塔·加西亞
1%

塞西莉亞·卡拉尼
1%

法蒂瑪·塔迪奧
1%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
10%
Enrique Leaño 50.2%
克里斯蒂安·薩納布里亞 6%
威爾伯·喬卡馬尼 4.5%
霍拉西奧·波佩 3.6%
$23,812 交易量
$23,812 交易量

Enrique Leaño
50%

克里斯蒂安·薩納布里亞
18%

威爾伯·喬卡馬尼
5%

霍拉西奧·波佩
4%

胡安·安東尼奧·赫蘇斯
10%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
3%

理查德·莫斯科索
3%

巴布羅·阿里薩加
10%

法蘭茲·塔塔·加西亞
1%

塞西莉亞·卡拉尼
1%

法蒂瑪·塔迪奧
1%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市場開放時間: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Sucre mayoral election positions Enrique Leaño as frontrunner at 50.9% implied probability, driven by consistent polling leads of 35-45% from recent Ciesmori and other surveys, bolstered by his Comunidad Ciudadana affiliation and focus on infrastructure improvements amid local voter priorities. Cristian Sanabria trails at 25% as the MAS candidate, facing headwinds from national party divisions and Evo Morales' influence disputes. Juan Antonio Jesús and Pablo Arízaga each hover near 11%, drawing evangelical and independent support respectively, while Hebert Marcelo Terrazas holds 10.8% via regional ties. A pivotal October 2024 debate showcased Leaño's edge on economic issues, widening his lead and lifting odds; final pre-election polls expected soon could catalyze further shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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