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《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房

Market icon

《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房

4月 6

4月 6

4月 13

4月 13

4月 6

4月 6

4月 13

4月 13

7000萬-8000萬 43%

低於7000萬 37%

8000-9000萬 25%

>9千萬 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,559 交易量

7000萬-8000萬 43%

低於7000萬 37%

8000-9000萬 25%

>9千萬 4.5%

Polymarket

$10,559 交易量

低於7000萬

$3,630 交易量

37%

7000萬-8000萬

$3,262 交易量

48%

8000-9000萬

$1,619 交易量

23%

>9千萬

$2,053 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a $70-80 million sophomore weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 45.5% implied probability, closely trailed by under $70 million at 38%, reflecting uncertainty around its holdover strength after a massive $131.7 million opening and $207.6 million six-day domestic cume. Strong post-Easter weekdays, including a record $16.8 million Monday—the best of 2026—signal solid family audience retention and premium large format (Imax/PLF) dominance, but softer word-of-mouth (62% definite recommend vs. the original's 82%) points to a 47-54% drop per Deadline tracking, capping upside. Competition from You, Me & Tuscany's romance counterprogramming adds risk; Friday estimates will clarify if Nintendo brand legs push toward $75 million midpoints or front-loaded declines prevail.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$10,559
結束日期
2026-04-13
市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a $70-80 million sophomore weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 45.5% implied probability, closely trailed by under $70 million at 38%, reflecting uncertainty around its holdover strength after a massive $131.7 million opening and $207.6 million six-day domestic cume. Strong post-Easter weekdays, including a record $16.8 million Monday—the best of 2026—signal solid family audience retention and premium large format (Imax/PLF) dominance, but softer word-of-mouth (62% definite recommend vs. the original's 82%) points to a 47-54% drop per Deadline tracking, capping upside. Competition from You, Me & Tuscany's romance counterprogramming adds risk; Friday estimates will clarify if Nintendo brand legs push toward $75 million midpoints or front-loaded declines prevail.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$10,559
結束日期
2026-04-13
市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "7000萬-8000萬" at 48%, followed by "低於7000萬" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房" is "7000萬-8000萬" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "低於7000萬" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "《超級瑪利歐銀河電影》第二週末票房" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.