Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward an 8-9 million opening weekend for "You, Me & Tuscany" at 48% implied probability, aligning with conservative studio tracking of 7-9 million and Box Office Theory's 8-12.5 million forecast released hours ago. Recent early reviews, including Variety's note of "plenty of sun but no real heat" and Hollywood Reporter's praise for rom-com sparks, reflect mixed critical reception that tempers buzz for the Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page-led Universal title. Heavy competition from Super Mario Galaxy's projected 67-75 million sophomore weekend overshadows the PG-13 rom-com, while Will Packer's production pedigree draws targeted Black audiences amid genre softness. Final presales and walk-ups remain pivotal ahead of the April 10 theatrical debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
8-9m 48%
9-10m 21%
<8m 19.5%
10-11m 10.6%
$17,602 交易量
$17,602 交易量
<8m
17%
8-9m
48%
9-10m
21%
10-11m
11%
>11m
10%
8-9m 48%
9-10m 21%
<8m 19.5%
10-11m 10.6%
$17,602 交易量
$17,602 交易量
<8m
17%
8-9m
48%
9-10m
21%
10-11m
11%
>11m
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward an 8-9 million opening weekend for "You, Me & Tuscany" at 48% implied probability, aligning with conservative studio tracking of 7-9 million and Box Office Theory's 8-12.5 million forecast released hours ago. Recent early reviews, including Variety's note of "plenty of sun but no real heat" and Hollywood Reporter's praise for rom-com sparks, reflect mixed critical reception that tempers buzz for the Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page-led Universal title. Heavy competition from Super Mario Galaxy's projected 67-75 million sophomore weekend overshadows the PG-13 rom-com, while Will Packer's production pedigree draws targeted Black audiences amid genre softness. Final presales and walk-ups remain pivotal ahead of the April 10 theatrical debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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