Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 tweets by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent steady pace of 30-35 posts per day tracked via X analytics, with 194 posts in the April 3-10 window (daily average 32 as of April 9 midnight ET) and 56 in the early April 7-14 period. The 40-64 range at 26.5% captures potential quieter days amid his typical mix of Tesla FSD highlights, AI commentary, and political replies driving viral engagement. No major catalysts like product launches or controversies have spiked volume in the past 48 hours, but ongoing X activity—evident in early April 9 posts on Hyperloop and animal safety—supports the mid-range frontrunner, with upside risk if news breaks before April 11 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於65-89 44%
40-64 27%
90-114 22%
115-139 6%
$243,166 交易量
$243,166 交易量
2026-04-11
少於40
2%
40-64
27%
65-89
44%
90-114
22%
115-139
6%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 44%
40-64 27%
90-114 22%
115-139 6%
$243,166 交易量
$243,166 交易量
2026-04-11
少於40
$25,910 交易量
2%
40-64
$14,902 交易量
27%
65-89
$15,357 交易量
44%
90-114
$11,344 交易量
22%
115-139
$10,872 交易量
6%
140-164
$26,661 交易量
1%
165-189
$18,842 交易量
1%
190-214
$33,428 交易量
<1%
215-239
$37,101 交易量
<1%
240+
$48,772 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 tweets by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent steady pace of 30-35 posts per day tracked via X analytics, with 194 posts in the April 3-10 window (daily average 32 as of April 9 midnight ET) and 56 in the early April 7-14 period. The 40-64 range at 26.5% captures potential quieter days amid his typical mix of Tesla FSD highlights, AI commentary, and political replies driving viral engagement. No major catalysts like product launches or controversies have spiked volume in the past 48 hours, but ongoing X activity—evident in early April 9 posts on Hyperloop and animal safety—supports the mid-range frontrunner, with upside risk if news breaks before April 11 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$243,166結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 tweets by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent steady pace of 30-35 posts per day tracked via X analytics, with 194 posts in the April 3-10 window (daily average 32 as of April 9 midnight ET) and 56 in the early April 7-14 period. The 40-64 range at 26.5% captures potential quieter days amid his typical mix of Tesla FSD highlights, AI commentary, and political replies driving viral engagement. No major catalysts like product launches or controversies have spiked volume in the past 48 hours, but ongoing X activity—evident in early April 9 posts on Hyperloop and animal safety—supports the mid-range frontrunner, with upside risk if news breaks before April 11 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$243,166結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 tweets by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent steady pace of 30-35 posts per day tracked via X analytics, with 194 posts in the April 3-10 window (daily average 32 as of April 9 midnight ET) and 56 in the early April 7-14 period. The 40-64 range at 26.5% captures potential quieter days amid his typical mix of Tesla FSD highlights, AI commentary, and political replies driving viral engagement. No major catalysts like product launches or controversies have spiked volume in the past 48 hours, but ongoing X activity—evident in early April 9 posts on Hyperloop and animal safety—supports the mid-range frontrunner, with upside risk if news breaks before April 11 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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