Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 95% implied probability, driven by the hosts' recent episodes dissecting the administration's Iran war escalation, tariffs, and domestic policy missteps, as highlighted in interviews with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and discussions on Middle East conflicts. AI-related terms dominate as well, with "AI" said 15+ times at 89%, "Anthropic" at 85%, and "Open Source" at 81%, reflecting the podcast's prior focus on model competition between Anthropic and OpenAI, Google AI initiatives, and defense tech like Palantir's platforms amid hardware shifts to drones and data centers. No guests or topics announced for the April 10 episode, but hosts' X activity signals continued emphasis on these real-time tech-policy intersections, with resolution imminent post-release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$11,118 交易量
AI 15+ times
84%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
35%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
20%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
64%
Polymarket
71%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
19%
Alignment
16%
Software
88%
Anthropic
73%
48%
Nvidia
69%
Poland
13%
Token
63%
Safety
11%
Winner
59%
China
79%
Paris
10%
Trump
95%
Cookie
11%
Deepfake
14%
$11,118 交易量
AI 15+ times
84%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
35%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
20%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
64%
Polymarket
71%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
19%
Alignment
16%
Software
88%
Anthropic
73%
48%
Nvidia
69%
Poland
13%
Token
63%
Safety
11%
Winner
59%
China
79%
Paris
10%
Trump
95%
Cookie
11%
Deepfake
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 95% implied probability, driven by the hosts' recent episodes dissecting the administration's Iran war escalation, tariffs, and domestic policy missteps, as highlighted in interviews with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and discussions on Middle East conflicts. AI-related terms dominate as well, with "AI" said 15+ times at 89%, "Anthropic" at 85%, and "Open Source" at 81%, reflecting the podcast's prior focus on model competition between Anthropic and OpenAI, Google AI initiatives, and defense tech like Palantir's platforms amid hardware shifts to drones and data centers. No guests or topics announced for the April 10 episode, but hosts' X activity signals continued emphasis on these real-time tech-policy intersections, with resolution imminent post-release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions