Riku Dining Group's March 16, 2026, F-1/A amendment upsized its Nasdaq IPO to 5 million shares at $4–$6 apiece—targeting $25 million in proceeds and implying a roughly $115 million post-IPO market cap—has concentrated trader consensus in the closely contested 90M–130M brackets at 25.5% each, aligning with last-12-month revenue of $18.7 million and net income of $1 million. Yet the leading 34% odds on no IPO before June stem from the firm's history of filing adjustments and withdrawals, coupled with tepid demand for small-cap restaurant operators in a volatile IPO environment marked by economic headwinds on consumer dining. Pricing is slated for April 24, with roadshow progress and final demand as key swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於No IPO before June 2026 33%
90M–110M 26%
110M–130M 26%
<90M 7%
<90M
19%
90M–110M
26%
110M–130M
26%
130M–150M
28%
150M+
25%
No IPO before June 2026
33%
No IPO before June 2026 33%
90M–110M 26%
110M–130M 26%
<90M 7%
<90M
19%
90M–110M
26%
110M–130M
26%
130M–150M
28%
150M+
25%
No IPO before June 2026
33%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Riku Dining Group's March 16, 2026, F-1/A amendment upsized its Nasdaq IPO to 5 million shares at $4–$6 apiece—targeting $25 million in proceeds and implying a roughly $115 million post-IPO market cap—has concentrated trader consensus in the closely contested 90M–130M brackets at 25.5% each, aligning with last-12-month revenue of $18.7 million and net income of $1 million. Yet the leading 34% odds on no IPO before June stem from the firm's history of filing adjustments and withdrawals, coupled with tepid demand for small-cap restaurant operators in a volatile IPO environment marked by economic headwinds on consumer dining. Pricing is slated for April 24, with roadshow progress and final demand as key swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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