Market icon
科技·Apple

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon
科技·Apple

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

最新
2026-04-17
Polymarket

$2,199 交易量

Polymarket

4月8日

$188 交易量

5%

4月10日

$0 交易量

42%

April 12

$919 交易量

80%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently holds the #1 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store, per latest Sensor Tower and Appfigures data, outpacing Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid fierce AI chatbot competition. Trader consensus reflects its resilient user adoption, bolstered by advanced large language model features like GPT-5.4's multimodal reasoning, but rankings remain volatile following early March's backlash to OpenAI's $200M Department of Defense contract. That deal triggered a 295% uninstall spike, 775% surge in one-star reviews, and Claude's brief dethroning via the "QuitGPT" boycott. No imminent product launches or regulatory shifts loom, though viral sentiment or rival updates could swiftly shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$2,199
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently holds the #1 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store, per latest Sensor Tower and Appfigures data, outpacing Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid fierce AI chatbot competition. Trader consensus reflects its resilient user adoption, bolstered by advanced large language model features like GPT-5.4's multimodal reasoning, but rankings remain volatile following early March's backlash to OpenAI's $200M Department of Defense contract. That deal triggered a 295% uninstall spike, 775% surge in one-star reviews, and Claude's brief dethroning via the "QuitGPT" boycott. No imminent product launches or regulatory shifts loom, though viral sentiment or rival updates could swiftly shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$2,199
結束日期
2026-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 12" at 80%, followed by "4月10日" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "April 12" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月10日" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.