Sina Movahed’s commanding 95.5% implied probability reflects traders’ consensus on the 16-year-old Iranian grandmaster’s recent dominance in Chess.com Titled Tuesday events, where he has posted multiple outright wins, including a 10.5/11 score in March 2026 that featured victories over Magnus Carlsen and Denis Lazavik. His Chess.com blitz ratings routinely exceed 3200, backed by strong head-to-head results against elite fields and consistent form in high-stakes online blitz. While the field includes top grandmasters such as Hikaru Nakamura, Jeffery Xiong, Fabiano Caruana, and Alireza Firouzja, each at 9.5% or lower, realistic challenges to Movahed’s position remain limited to variance inherent in 11-round blitz formats or unexpected lineup changes, given the market’s assessment of his current edge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Sina Movahed 99.5%
Jeffery Xiong 19.1%
Magnus Carlsen 19%
阿爾君·埃里加西 19%
$808 交易量
$808 交易量
Magnus Carlsen
否
Nakamura Hikaru
否
阿爾君·埃里加西
否
Denis Lazavik
否
Sina Movahed
是
Aravindh Chithambaram
No
Andrey Esipenko
No
Alireza Firouzja
No
Alexander Grischuk
No
Aleksandar Indjic
No
Aleksei Sarana
No
Aleksandr Shimanov
No
Benjamin Bok
No
Bardiya Daneshvar
No
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
No
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
No
Dmitry Andreikin
No
David Anton
No
Dau Khuong Duy
No
Dincer Tasdogen
No
Fabiano Caruana
No
Faustino Oro
No
Frederik Svane
No
Haik Martirosyan
No
Hans Niemann
No
Haowen Xue
No
Ian Nepomniachtchi
No
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
No
Jose Martinez
No
Jules Moussard
No
Javokhir Sindarov
No
Jeffery Xiong
No
Levon Aronian
No
Le Tuan Minh
No
Matthias Bluebaum
No
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
No
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
No
Nihal Sarin
No
Nikolas Theodorou
No
Oleksandr Bortnyk
No
Parham Maghsoodloo
No
Pranesh Munirethinam
No
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
No
Pranav Venkatesh
No
Renato Terry Lujan
No
Rudik Makarian
No
Rasmus Svane
No
Sam Sevian
No
Sergey Sklokin
No
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
No
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
No
Vladislav Artemiev
No
Volen Dyulgerov
No
Vincent Keymer
No
Wesley So
No
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
No
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
No
Gukesh Dommaraju
No
Ding Liren
No
Wei Yi
No
Vladimir Fedoseev
No
Brandon Jacobson
No
Christopher Yoo
No
Awonder Liang
No
Andrew Tang
No
Tuomas Turunen
No
Sina Movahed 99.5%
Jeffery Xiong 19.1%
Magnus Carlsen 19%
阿爾君·埃里加西 19%
$808 交易量
$808 交易量
Magnus Carlsen
否
Nakamura Hikaru
否
阿爾君·埃里加西
否
Denis Lazavik
否
Sina Movahed
是
Aravindh Chithambaram
No
Andrey Esipenko
No
Alireza Firouzja
No
Alexander Grischuk
No
Aleksandar Indjic
No
Aleksei Sarana
No
Aleksandr Shimanov
No
Benjamin Bok
No
Bardiya Daneshvar
No
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
No
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
No
Dmitry Andreikin
No
David Anton
No
Dau Khuong Duy
No
Dincer Tasdogen
No
Fabiano Caruana
No
Faustino Oro
No
Frederik Svane
No
Haik Martirosyan
No
Hans Niemann
No
Haowen Xue
No
Ian Nepomniachtchi
No
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
No
Jose Martinez
No
Jules Moussard
No
Javokhir Sindarov
No
Jeffery Xiong
No
Levon Aronian
No
Le Tuan Minh
No
Matthias Bluebaum
No
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
No
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
No
Nihal Sarin
No
Nikolas Theodorou
No
Oleksandr Bortnyk
No
Parham Maghsoodloo
No
Pranesh Munirethinam
No
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
No
Pranav Venkatesh
No
Renato Terry Lujan
No
Rudik Makarian
No
Rasmus Svane
No
Sam Sevian
No
Sergey Sklokin
No
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
No
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
No
Vladislav Artemiev
No
Volen Dyulgerov
No
Vincent Keymer
No
Wesley So
No
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
No
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
No
Gukesh Dommaraju
No
Ding Liren
No
Wei Yi
No
Vladimir Fedoseev
No
Brandon Jacobson
No
Christopher Yoo
No
Awonder Liang
No
Andrew Tang
No
Tuomas Turunen
No
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Sina Movahed’s commanding 95.5% implied probability reflects traders’ consensus on the 16-year-old Iranian grandmaster’s recent dominance in Chess.com Titled Tuesday events, where he has posted multiple outright wins, including a 10.5/11 score in March 2026 that featured victories over Magnus Carlsen and Denis Lazavik. His Chess.com blitz ratings routinely exceed 3200, backed by strong head-to-head results against elite fields and consistent form in high-stakes online blitz. While the field includes top grandmasters such as Hikaru Nakamura, Jeffery Xiong, Fabiano Caruana, and Alireza Firouzja, each at 9.5% or lower, realistic challenges to Movahed’s position remain limited to variance inherent in 11-round blitz formats or unexpected lineup changes, given the market’s assessment of his current edge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions