Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Tesla (TSLA) closing above $170 on March 25 reflects a 55% implied probability for yes shares, driven primarily by anticipation of Q1 delivery figures expected April 2 amid weakening EV demand signals from Europe and China sales dips of 11.5% YoY in February. TSLA trades at $171.85 intraday, up 1.2% today after rebounding from $162 lows post-FOMC rate hold, with market-implied odds factoring in Cybertruck ramp-up to 1,000/week but tempered by 20% YTD decline and high inventory levels. Key watch: deliveries beating 440k consensus could push above $180; upcoming robotaxi event May 29 adds upside asymmetry, though macro slowdown risks cap gains.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$360
99%
370美元
95%
380美元
72%
390美元
29%
400美元
5%
$1,790 交易量
$360
99%
370美元
95%
380美元
72%
390美元
29%
400美元
5%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Tesla (TSLA) closing above $170 on March 25 reflects a 55% implied probability for yes shares, driven primarily by anticipation of Q1 delivery figures expected April 2 amid weakening EV demand signals from Europe and China sales dips of 11.5% YoY in February. TSLA trades at $171.85 intraday, up 1.2% today after rebounding from $162 lows post-FOMC rate hold, with market-implied odds factoring in Cybertruck ramp-up to 1,000/week but tempered by 20% YTD decline and high inventory levels. Key watch: deliveries beating 440k consensus could push above $180; upcoming robotaxi event May 29 adds upside asymmetry, though macro slowdown risks cap gains.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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