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Legal 預測與賠率

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《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?

《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?

50%

$1M 交易量

$39.8K Liq.

123

Ends 7 個月內

中國會在2027年前解禁比特幣嗎?

中國會在2027年前解禁比特幣嗎?

3%

$970K 交易量

$43.2K Liq.

13

Ends 7 個月內

SBF在2026年被釋放?

SBF在2026年被釋放?

5%

$424K 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

1

Ends 7 個月內

司各特接受體育賽事合約案由… ?

司各特接受體育賽事合約案由… ?

2%

7月31日

$952K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

6

Ends 7 個月內

特朗普會在7月31日前赦免SBF嗎?

特朗普會在7月31日前赦免SBF嗎?

3%

$38.4K 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

特朗普通過___消除了加密貨幣的資本利得稅?

特朗普通過___消除了加密貨幣的資本利得稅?

3%

2026年12月31日

$112K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

19

Ends 7 個月內

Tom Lee在12月31日前被收取費用?

Tom Lee在12月31日前被收取費用?

6%

$58.5K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

本·帕斯捷爾納克被關進監獄?

本·帕斯捷爾納克被關進監獄?

7%

$51.0K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

7

Ends 7 個月內

在6月30日之前在區塊鏈上進行美國國庫券交易?

在6月30日之前在區塊鏈上進行美國國庫券交易?

5%

$3.1K 交易量

$738 Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Eric Adams charged by December 31?

Eric Adams charged by December 31?

31%

$0 交易量

$63 Liq.

1

Ends 7 個月內

美國會在2026年收購格陵蘭島的一部分嗎?

美國會在2026年收購格陵蘭島的一部分嗎?

10%

$10M 交易量

$119K Liq.

271

Ends 7 個月內

哪些銀行會在6月30日前倒閉?

哪些銀行會在6月30日前倒閉?

1%

瑞銀

$548K 交易量

$85.1K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

美國將持有哪些公司的股份?

美國將持有哪些公司的股份?

91%

Rigetti

$121K 交易量

$48.8K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

1%

$179K 交易量

$20.0K Liq.

38

Ends 11 天內

Elon Musk會在2027年之前宣布參選總統嗎?

Elon Musk會在2027年之前宣布參選總統嗎?

4%

$19.9K 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

祕魯總統選舉無效?

祕魯總統選舉無效?

6%

$7.2K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?

2026年,特朗普會賣出多少張黃金卡?

72%

1-100

$278K 交易量

$62.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

到2026年底,哪些銀行會倒閉?

到2026年底,哪些銀行會倒閉?

8%

德意志銀行

$24.3K 交易量

$29.5K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

16%

Frontier Airlines

$119K 交易量

$47.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

5%

$41.2K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Legal.

Polymarket currently hosts 86 active markets for Legal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “《明晰度法案》已於2026年簽署成為法律?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “司各特接受體育賽事合約案由… ? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國會在2026年收購格陵蘭島的一部分嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Legal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.