Amid heightened tensions from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports following a fragile regional ceasefire, the first direct US-Iran diplomatic talks in decades concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, led by Vice President JD Vance and Iran's parliamentary speaker. Disagreements persisted over nuclear issues and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting President Trump to describe negotiations as "very deep" while signaling a second round could occur within days, with Pakistan proposing to host. Diplomats continue discussions on timing and venue, as parallel Israel-Lebanon talks proceed in Washington, leaving trader consensus hinging on swift de-escalation signals before the market's resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$634,206 交易量
2026-04-30
4月15日
1%
4月16日
6%
4月17日
19%
4月18日
45%
4月22日
78%
4月30日
88%
$634,206 交易量
4月15日
$20,335 交易量
1%
4月16日
$32,356 交易量
6%
4月17日
$12,112 交易量
19%
4月18日
$327,908 交易量
45%
4月22日
$161,863 交易量
78%
4月30日
$79,938 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened tensions from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports following a fragile regional ceasefire, the first direct US-Iran diplomatic talks in decades concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, led by Vice President JD Vance and Iran's parliamentary speaker. Disagreements persisted over nuclear issues and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting President Trump to describe negotiations as "very deep" while signaling a second round could occur within days, with Pakistan proposing to host. Diplomats continue discussions on timing and venue, as parallel Israel-Lebanon talks proceed in Washington, leaving trader consensus hinging on swift de-escalation signals before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$634,206結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened tensions from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports following a fragile regional ceasefire, the first direct US-Iran diplomatic talks in decades concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, led by Vice President JD Vance and Iran's parliamentary speaker. Disagreements persisted over nuclear issues and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting President Trump to describe negotiations as "very deep" while signaling a second round could occur within days, with Pakistan proposing to host. Diplomats continue discussions on timing and venue, as parallel Israel-Lebanon talks proceed in Washington, leaving trader consensus hinging on swift de-escalation signals before the market's resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$634,206結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened tensions from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports following a fragile regional ceasefire, the first direct US-Iran diplomatic talks in decades concluded without agreement in Islamabad on April 12, led by Vice President JD Vance and Iran's parliamentary speaker. Disagreements persisted over nuclear issues and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting President Trump to describe negotiations as "very deep" while signaling a second round could occur within days, with Pakistan proposing to host. Diplomats continue discussions on timing and venue, as parallel Israel-Lebanon talks proceed in Washington, leaving trader consensus hinging on swift de-escalation signals before the market's resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions