Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any public repetition by President Trump of his April 5 Easter Sunday Truth Social post—where he ended an expletive-filled threat to Iran over the Strait of Hormuz with "Praise be to Allah"—despite ten days of sustained US-Iran tensions, military posturing, and diplomatic signals. No subsequent speeches, rallies, interviews, or social media activity have featured the phrase, even as Trump deflected questions on its use. With the market deadline at 11:59 PM ET today, April 15, only a late-breaking escalation prompting a similar rhetorical flourish could shift resolution, though traders see minimal barriers overcome in the final hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$263,818 交易量
$263,818 交易量
是
$263,818 交易量
$263,818 交易量
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any public repetition by President Trump of his April 5 Easter Sunday Truth Social post—where he ended an expletive-filled threat to Iran over the Strait of Hormuz with "Praise be to Allah"—despite ten days of sustained US-Iran tensions, military posturing, and diplomatic signals. No subsequent speeches, rallies, interviews, or social media activity have featured the phrase, even as Trump deflected questions on its use. With the market deadline at 11:59 PM ET today, April 15, only a late-breaking escalation prompting a similar rhetorical flourish could shift resolution, though traders see minimal barriers overcome in the final hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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