President Trump's public statements excluding the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon from the recent U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire—calling it a "separate skirmish"—have kept odds from surging higher, yet trader consensus at 61.5% Yes reflects his reported private pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu, including a tense call prompting Israel to authorize direct negotiations with Lebanon. Ongoing Israeli airstrikes on over 200 Hezbollah targets in the past day underscore escalation risks, while U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff engage mediators in Islamabad ahead of potential Israel-Lebanon talks next week. This diplomatic momentum, amid Strait of Hormuz reopening efforts, positions Trump to endorse de-escalation by April 30 to stabilize the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
$23,412 交易量
最新
$23,412 交易量
2026-04-30
最新
$23,412 交易量
最新
$23,412 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's public statements excluding the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon from the recent U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire—calling it a "separate skirmish"—have kept odds from surging higher, yet trader consensus at 61.5% Yes reflects his reported private pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu, including a tense call prompting Israel to authorize direct negotiations with Lebanon. Ongoing Israeli airstrikes on over 200 Hezbollah targets in the past day underscore escalation risks, while U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff engage mediators in Islamabad ahead of potential Israel-Lebanon talks next week. This diplomatic momentum, amid Strait of Hormuz reopening efforts, positions Trump to endorse de-escalation by April 30 to stabilize the region.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
市場開放時間： Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$23,412結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's public statements excluding the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon from the recent U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire—calling it a "separate skirmish"—have kept odds from surging higher, yet trader consensus at 61.5% Yes reflects his reported private pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu, including a tense call prompting Israel to authorize direct negotiations with Lebanon. Ongoing Israeli airstrikes on over 200 Hezbollah targets in the past day underscore escalation risks, while U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff engage mediators in Islamabad ahead of potential Israel-Lebanon talks next week. This diplomatic momentum, amid Strait of Hormuz reopening efforts, positions Trump to endorse de-escalation by April 30 to stabilize the region.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
交易量
$23,414結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's public statements excluding the Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon from the recent U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire—calling it a "separate skirmish"—have kept odds from surging higher, yet trader consensus at 61.5% Yes reflects his reported private pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu, including a tense call prompting Israel to authorize direct negotiations with Lebanon. Ongoing Israeli airstrikes on over 200 Hezbollah targets in the past day underscore escalation risks, while U.S. envoys like Steve Witkoff engage mediators in Islamabad ahead of potential Israel-Lebanon talks next week. This diplomatic momentum, amid Strait of Hormuz reopening efforts, positions Trump to endorse de-escalation by April 30 to stabilize the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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