Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israel strikes that also left Mojtaba with severe facial and leg injuries. He has since governed through audio statements read on state media, remote meetings, and courier approvals while remaining in hiding as a designated target amid ongoing regional conflict. Multiple reports through late May 2026 confirm no verified in-person public appearances, citing security risks and recovery needs rather than any formal withdrawal. Trader focus centers on whether war developments, potential ceasefires, or regime stability needs will prompt a visible appearance by the market's resolution date, with historical precedent showing Iranian leaders often limit exposure during active hostilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,878,272 交易量
June 19
4%
June 26
43%
June 30
14%
July 31
59%
$1,878,272 交易量
June 19
4%
June 26
43%
June 30
14%
July 31
59%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israel strikes that also left Mojtaba with severe facial and leg injuries. He has since governed through audio statements read on state media, remote meetings, and courier approvals while remaining in hiding as a designated target amid ongoing regional conflict. Multiple reports through late May 2026 confirm no verified in-person public appearances, citing security risks and recovery needs rather than any formal withdrawal. Trader focus centers on whether war developments, potential ceasefires, or regime stability needs will prompt a visible appearance by the market's resolution date, with historical precedent showing Iranian leaders often limit exposure during active hostilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions