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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?

Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?

Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?

$6,628,169 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$6,628,169 交易量

Polymarket

8月31日

$398,068 交易量

7%

9月30日

$247,378 交易量

13%

12月31日

$396,345 交易量

28%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes established institutional continuity through the Assembly of Experts and IRGC backing, yet he has maintained a low profile with no confirmed live public appearances. Security concerns, reported injuries from the attack, and ongoing regional tensions explain the extended absence, with trader consensus assigning low probabilities to near-term dates such as August 31. Iranian state media released a short undated video in early August 2026 showing him in a meeting, released to counter health speculation, though its timing and status as new footage remain factors for market resolution. Scheduled interactions with President Pezeshkian and potential further media or official events through year-end represent the main variables that could shift implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$6,628,169
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 after his father's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes established institutional continuity through the Assembly of Experts and IRGC backing, yet he has maintained a low profile with no confirmed live public appearances. Security concerns, reported injuries from the attack, and ongoing regional tensions explain the extended absence, with trader consensus assigning low probabilities to near-term dates such as August 31. Iranian state media released a short undated video in early August 2026 showing him in a meeting, released to counter health speculation, though its timing and status as new footage remain factors for market resolution. Scheduled interactions with President Pezeshkian and potential further media or official events through year-end represent the main variables that could shift implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$6,628,169
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 28%, followed by "9月30日" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?" has generated $6.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?" is "12月31日" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.