Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes, during which Mojtaba sustained reported injuries to his face and legs. He has made no confirmed public appearances, photographs, or videos since the appointment, with state media relying on archival or AI-generated material and officials describing private audio meetings or written statements. Reports from multiple outlets detail ongoing recovery in Qom, questions over his operational capacity, and contradictory intelligence assessments on the severity of his wounds. This extended absence amid wartime conditions and succession scrutiny forms the core driver of trader focus on any verified visual confirmation before resolution deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,880,054 交易量
2026-06-19
June 19
4%
June 26
12%
June 30
14%
July 31
36%
$1,880,054 交易量
June 19
$2,917 交易量
4%
June 26
$85 交易量
12%
June 30
$190,580 交易量
14%
July 31
$2,176 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes, during which Mojtaba sustained reported injuries to his face and legs. He has made no confirmed public appearances, photographs, or videos since the appointment, with state media relying on archival or AI-generated material and officials describing private audio meetings or written statements. Reports from multiple outlets detail ongoing recovery in Qom, questions over his operational capacity, and contradictory intelligence assessments on the severity of his wounds. This extended absence amid wartime conditions and succession scrutiny forms the core driver of trader focus on any verified visual confirmation before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
交易量
$1,880,054結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes, during which Mojtaba sustained reported injuries to his face and legs. He has made no confirmed public appearances, photographs, or videos since the appointment, with state media relying on archival or AI-generated material and officials describing private audio meetings or written statements. Reports from multiple outlets detail ongoing recovery in Qom, questions over his operational capacity, and contradictory intelligence assessments on the severity of his wounds. This extended absence amid wartime conditions and succession scrutiny forms the core driver of trader focus on any verified visual confirmation before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$1,880,054結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes, during which Mojtaba sustained reported injuries to his face and legs. He has made no confirmed public appearances, photographs, or videos since the appointment, with state media relying on archival or AI-generated material and officials describing private audio meetings or written statements. Reports from multiple outlets detail ongoing recovery in Qom, questions over his operational capacity, and contradictory intelligence assessments on the severity of his wounds. This extended absence amid wartime conditions and succession scrutiny forms the core driver of trader focus on any verified visual confirmation before resolution deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions