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icon for 哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？
地緣政治·敘利亞

哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？

icon for 哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？
地緣政治·敘利亞

哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？

12月 31

12月 31

$267,618 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$267,618 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 委內瑞拉

委內瑞拉

$13,736 交易量

23%

icon for 黎巴嫩

黎巴嫩

$81,042 交易量

22%

icon for 印尼

印尼

$12,543 交易量

13%

icon for 敘利亞

敘利亞

$10,381 交易量

10%

icon for 古巴

古巴

$5,516 交易量

9%

icon for 科威特

科威特

$8,284 交易量

8%

icon for 突尼西亞

突尼西亞

$11,287 交易量

7%

icon for 孟加拉

孟加拉

$8,047 交易量

7%

icon for 沙烏地阿拉伯

沙烏地阿拉伯

$25,904 交易量

7%

icon for 巴基斯坦

巴基斯坦

$3,790 交易量

6%

icon for 伊朗

伊朗

$9,608 交易量

5%

icon for 朝鮮

朝鮮

$15,191 交易量

5%

icon for 馬來西亞

馬來西亞

$8,856 交易量

5%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$8,272 交易量

4%

icon for 阿富汗

阿富汗

$13,454 交易量

3%

icon for 卡塔爾

卡塔爾

$31,708 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$267,618
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$267,618
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "委內瑞拉" at 23%, followed by "黎巴嫩" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" has generated $267.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" is "委內瑞拉" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "黎巴嫩" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在12月31日前承認以色列？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.