Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？
世界·以色列

以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？

icon for 以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？
世界·以色列

以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？

$3,497,774 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$3,497,774 交易量

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$533,342 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia’s foreign policy has long conditioned any normalization with Israel on prior Israeli recognition of an independent Palestinian state, a stance reiterated by President Prabowo Subianto in 2025 UN addresses and subsequent statements. Quiet commercial, tourism, and security contacts persist without formal diplomatic relations or embassies. Key barriers include domestic political constraints in the world’s largest Muslim-majority nation and the absence of parallel progress on Palestinian statehood or broader Abraham Accords expansion involving Jakarta. A May 2026 flotilla incident underscored reliance on third-party channels due to the lack of direct ties. No scheduled summits or policy shifts by mid-2026 altered this framework, keeping trader consensus aligned with significant structural hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,497,774
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia’s foreign policy has long conditioned any normalization with Israel on prior Israeli recognition of an independent Palestinian state, a stance reiterated by President Prabowo Subianto in 2025 UN addresses and subsequent statements. Quiet commercial, tourism, and security contacts persist without formal diplomatic relations or embassies. Key barriers include domestic political constraints in the world’s largest Muslim-majority nation and the absence of parallel progress on Palestinian statehood or broader Abraham Accords expansion involving Jakarta. A May 2026 flotilla incident underscored reliance on third-party channels due to the lack of direct ties. No scheduled summits or policy shifts by mid-2026 altered this framework, keeping trader consensus aligned with significant structural hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,497,774
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for 以色列和黎巴嫩會在2027年前實現關係正常化嗎？

以色列和黎巴嫩會在2027年前實現關係正常化嗎？

9%
是
icon for 以色列和沙烏地阿拉伯會在2027年前實現關係正常化嗎？

以色列和沙烏地阿拉伯會在2027年前實現關係正常化嗎？

8%
是
icon for 以色列和敘利亞會在2026年12月31日前實現關係正常化嗎？

以色列和敘利亞會在2026年12月31日前實現關係正常化嗎？

8%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 7%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？" is "2026年12月31日" at just 7%, with "2026年6月30日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "以色列和印尼通過……實現關係正常化？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.