Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

icon for 哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$1,631,341 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,631,341 交易量

Polymarket

黎巴嫩

$76,777 交易量

9%

索馬利蘭

$116,845 交易量

8%

敘利亞

$164,512 交易量

7%

阿塞拜疆

$175,475 交易量

7%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$328,914 交易量

7%

Egypt

$7,393 交易量

6%

Jordan

$9,774 交易量

6%

科威特

$64,151 交易量

6%

Qatar

$8,773 交易量

5%

阿曼

$181,915 交易量

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 交易量

3%

Turkey

$487,763 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia's insistence on a credible path to Palestinian statehood remains the central barrier to near-term Abraham Accords expansion, reinforced by its August 2026 Mecca defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan and parallel R-4 coordination with Egypt. These arrangements signal Riyadh's pursuit of autonomous security frameworks that reduce reliance on Israel-linked normalization. President Trump's July 2026 linkage of a U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear agreement to formal accession has not altered Saudi conditions, while Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry and Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland represent the only recent momentum. With roughly three months left before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, trader probabilities stay low across candidates because diplomatic timelines, domestic constraints, and competing regional alignments make additional formal signings improbable without major breakthroughs on Palestinian issues or sudden bilateral deals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,631,341
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia's insistence on a credible path to Palestinian statehood remains the central barrier to near-term Abraham Accords expansion, reinforced by its August 2026 Mecca defense pact with Turkey and Pakistan and parallel R-4 coordination with Egypt. These arrangements signal Riyadh's pursuit of autonomous security frameworks that reduce reliance on Israel-linked normalization. President Trump's July 2026 linkage of a U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear agreement to formal accession has not altered Saudi conditions, while Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry and Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland represent the only recent momentum. With roughly three months left before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, trader probabilities stay low across candidates because diplomatic timelines, domestic constraints, and competing regional alignments make additional formal signings improbable without major breakthroughs on Palestinian issues or sudden bilateral deals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,631,341
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

相關

icon for 在2027年前，會有新國家加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

在2027年前，會有新國家加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

7%
是
icon for 會有新國家在10月31日前加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

會有新國家在10月31日前加入亞伯拉罕協議嗎？

9%
是
icon for 黎巴嫩會在12月31日前承認以色列嗎？

黎巴嫩會在12月31日前承認以色列嗎？

10%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "黎巴嫩" at 9%, followed by "索馬利蘭" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is "黎巴嫩" at just 9%, with "索馬利蘭" close behind at 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.