Ongoing ceasefires and U.S.-facilitated talks since April 2026 have focused on border security, Hezbollah disarmament, and Lebanese army deployment in the south, yet Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun have repeatedly stated their country remains far from diplomatic or economic normalization. Hezbollah's rejection of proposed frameworks, Lebanon's adherence to the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood, and domestic political constraints continue to block progress. These factors sustain trader consensus that full relations are improbable before the 2027 deadline despite reduced hostilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$233,887 交易量
$233,887 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$233,887 交易量
$233,887 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing ceasefires and U.S.-facilitated talks since April 2026 have focused on border security, Hezbollah disarmament, and Lebanese army deployment in the south, yet Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun have repeatedly stated their country remains far from diplomatic or economic normalization. Hezbollah's rejection of proposed frameworks, Lebanon's adherence to the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood, and domestic political constraints continue to block progress. These factors sustain trader consensus that full relations are improbable before the 2027 deadline despite reduced hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 1:06 PM ET
交易量
$233,887結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing ceasefires and U.S.-facilitated talks since April 2026 have focused on border security, Hezbollah disarmament, and Lebanese army deployment in the south, yet Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun have repeatedly stated their country remains far from diplomatic or economic normalization. Hezbollah's rejection of proposed frameworks, Lebanon's adherence to the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood, and domestic political constraints continue to block progress. These factors sustain trader consensus that full relations are improbable before the 2027 deadline despite reduced hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$233,887結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing ceasefires and U.S.-facilitated talks since April 2026 have focused on border security, Hezbollah disarmament, and Lebanese army deployment in the south, yet Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun have repeatedly stated their country remains far from diplomatic or economic normalization. Hezbollah's rejection of proposed frameworks, Lebanon's adherence to the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood, and domestic political constraints continue to block progress. These factors sustain trader consensus that full relations are improbable before the 2027 deadline despite reduced hostilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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