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Politics·Israel

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

icon for Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Politics·Israel

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

12月 31

12月 31

$734,125 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$734,125 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Belgium

Belgium

$74,007 交易量

23%

icon for The Netherlands

The Netherlands

$58,732 交易量

19%

icon for New Zealand

New Zealand

$122,624 交易量

19%

icon for Italy

Italy

$24,720 交易量

16%

icon for Greece

Greece

$45,973 交易量

13%

icon for Finland

Finland

$37,900 交易量

13%

icon for Japan

Japan

$46,021 交易量

11%

icon for United States

United States

$22,708 交易量

8%

icon for Austria

Austria

$172,439 交易量

6%

icon for Germany

Germany

$128,892 交易量

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$115 交易量

6%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, and France, along with smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly two-state solution conference, raising the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. This coordinated diplomatic push, linked to Gaza developments and efforts to advance a two-state framework, produced no further recognitions in the following months. Remaining holdouts among G7 and EU states face domestic political constraints, alliance considerations with Israel, and conditions such as Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases. Trader focus centers on whether additional European or G20 countries will move before the December 2026 resolution deadline amid ongoing bilateral diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$734,125
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, and France, along with smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly two-state solution conference, raising the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. This coordinated diplomatic push, linked to Gaza developments and efforts to advance a two-state framework, produced no further recognitions in the following months. Remaining holdouts among G7 and EU states face domestic political constraints, alliance considerations with Israel, and conditions such as Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases. Trader focus centers on whether additional European or G20 countries will move before the December 2026 resolution deadline amid ongoing bilateral diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$734,125
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Belgium" at 23%, followed by "The Netherlands" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?" has generated $734.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?" is "Belgium" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Netherlands" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.