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icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

icon for 哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？
政治·以色列

哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？

12月 31

12月 31

$756,830 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$756,830 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 比利時

比利時

$78,510 交易量

19%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$62,452 交易量

14%

icon for 義大利

義大利

$27,815 交易量

14%

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$124,361 交易量

12%

icon for 芬蘭

芬蘭

$38,243 交易量

10%

icon for 日本

日本

$48,974 交易量

9%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$173,396 交易量

7%

icon for 美國

美國

$26,396 交易量

5%

icon for 希臘

希臘

$46,642 交易量

4%

icon for Israel

Israel

$292 交易量

4%

icon for 德國

德國

$129,750 交易量

4%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems primarily from coordinated Western recognitions at the September 2025 UN General Assembly, where the UK, France, Canada, Australia, Portugal, and several others extended formal acknowledgment of Palestinian statehood amid stalled Gaza ceasefire talks and renewed emphasis on a two-state framework. This wave followed earlier 2024-2025 steps by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Mexico, pushing the total above 150 UN members. In 2026, Belgium advanced its conditional process tied to shifts in Hamas governance, while holdouts including Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States maintain longstanding positions linked to bilateral security ties and negotiations. Traders monitor scheduled UN sessions, potential bilateral announcements, and any evolution in Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases that could prompt further diplomatic shifts before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$756,830
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems primarily from coordinated Western recognitions at the September 2025 UN General Assembly, where the UK, France, Canada, Australia, Portugal, and several others extended formal acknowledgment of Palestinian statehood amid stalled Gaza ceasefire talks and renewed emphasis on a two-state framework. This wave followed earlier 2024-2025 steps by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Mexico, pushing the total above 150 UN members. In 2026, Belgium advanced its conditional process tied to shifts in Hamas governance, while holdouts including Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States maintain longstanding positions linked to bilateral security ties and negotiations. Traders monitor scheduled UN sessions, potential bilateral announcements, and any evolution in Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases that could prompt further diplomatic shifts before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$756,830
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "比利時" at 19%, followed by "荷蘭" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" has generated $756.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" is "比利時" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "荷蘭" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在2027年之前承認巴勒斯坦？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.