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Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？

Market icon

Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？

是

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

9% 機率
Polymarket
最新
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91% implied probability for Kanye West visiting Israel by June 30, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed announcements or itinerary hints amid his packed 2026 global tour, including recent high-profile SoFi Stadium comeback shows in Los Angeles and upcoming India dates. Fresh backlash from the UK government's denial of entry for Wireless Festival—citing his history of antisemitic remarks—underscores persistent travel barriers in Jewish-sensitive regions, with no pivot toward Israel despite a 2025 New York meeting with Rabbi Yoshiyahu Yosef Pinto. While a surprise private redemption trip remains a slim upset possibility, the tight two-month window and lack of promotional momentum make it improbable.

If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$211
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91% implied probability for Kanye West visiting Israel by June 30, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed announcements or itinerary hints amid his packed 2026 global tour, including recent high-profile SoFi Stadium comeback shows in Los Angeles and upcoming India dates. Fresh backlash from the UK government's denial of entry for Wireless Festival—citing his history of antisemitic remarks—underscores persistent travel barriers in Jewish-sensitive regions, with no pivot toward Israel despite a 2025 New York meeting with Rabbi Yoshiyahu Yosef Pinto. While a surprise private redemption trip remains a slim upset possibility, the tight two-month window and lack of promotional momentum make it improbable.

If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$211
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "肯伊·威斯特會在6月30日之前訪問以色列嗎？" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？" is "肯伊·威斯特會在6月30日之前訪問以色列嗎？" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Kanye West會在6月30日前造訪以色列嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.