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伊朗停火 預測與賠率

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美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

69%

12月31日

$270M 交易量

$7M today

$2M Liq.

5,229

Ends 7 個月內

美國宣布新的伊朗協議/停火延長... ?

美國宣布新的伊朗協議/停火延長... ?

64%

7月31日

$30M 交易量

$4M today

$253K Liq.

365

美國和伊朗在6月30日前達成核協議?

美國和伊朗在6月30日前達成核協議?

21%

$6M 交易量

$446K today

$118K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

54%

7月31日

$30M 交易量

$319K today

$231K Liq.

572

Ends 21 天內

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

3%

6月30日

$5M 交易量

$303K today

$155K Liq.

45

Ends 9 天前

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

50%

7月31日

$44M 交易量

$260K today

$367K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

30%

$3M 交易量

$225K today

$165K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

20%

12月31日

$26M 交易量

$218K today

$295K Liq.

204

Ends 7 個月內

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

37%

12月31日

$14M 交易量

$170K today

$236K Liq.

178

Ends 7 個月內

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

8%

June 30

$3M 交易量

$66.8K today

$111K Liq.

90

Ends 9 天前

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

24%

Oil Sanction Relief

$735K 交易量

$252K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

75%

$721K 交易量

$171K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

68%

至6月30日無會談

$8M 交易量

$636K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

36%

$172K 交易量

$71.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

以色列在……前撤出黎巴嫩?

以色列在……前撤出黎巴嫩?

13%

July 31

$2M 交易量

$102K Liq.

37

Ends 21 天內

 伊朗同意在6月30日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在6月30日前停止濃縮鈾?

9%

$2M 交易量

$72.9K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

12%

$78.0K 交易量

$58.1K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

11%

June 30

$208K 交易量

$21.0K Liq.

3

Ends 21 天內

誰將參加下次美國與伊朗的外交會議?

誰將參加下次美國與伊朗的外交會議?

25%

賈德·庫什納

$1M 交易量

$116K Liq.

77

Ends 21 天內

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

5%

June 30

$57.0K 交易量

$17.5K Liq.

8

Ends 21 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 伊朗停火 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $447.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 伊朗停火 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.