Intensified fighting in North Kordofan and drone strikes across central Sudan have kept battlefield momentum with the Sudanese Armed Forces, while the Rapid Support Forces consolidates western positions and tests new supply routes. US-led Quad diplomacy, backed by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE, continues pressing a five-pillar framework that begins with a 90-day humanitarian truce, yet Sudanese army leadership has conditioned any pause on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. IGAD’s September 18 call for an immediate ceasefire and the Quintet’s Khartoum consultations reflect coordinated regional pressure, alongside US efforts to expand the UN arms embargo. Persistent hostilities, competing mediation tracks, and both parties’ refusal to accept core concessions sustain trader skepticism that a verifiable nationwide ceasefire will materialize quickly, though further SAF gains or external leverage could alter timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$119,424 交易量
2025-12-31
2026年12月31日
12%
$119,424 交易量
2026年12月31日
$14,886 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Intensified fighting in North Kordofan and drone strikes across central Sudan have kept battlefield momentum with the Sudanese Armed Forces, while the Rapid Support Forces consolidates western positions and tests new supply routes. US-led Quad diplomacy, backed by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE, continues pressing a five-pillar framework that begins with a 90-day humanitarian truce, yet Sudanese army leadership has conditioned any pause on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. IGAD’s September 18 call for an immediate ceasefire and the Quintet’s Khartoum consultations reflect coordinated regional pressure, alongside US efforts to expand the UN arms embargo. Persistent hostilities, competing mediation tracks, and both parties’ refusal to accept core concessions sustain trader skepticism that a verifiable nationwide ceasefire will materialize quickly, though further SAF gains or external leverage could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市場開放時間： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$119,424結束日期
2026-01-01市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Intensified fighting in North Kordofan and drone strikes across central Sudan have kept battlefield momentum with the Sudanese Armed Forces, while the Rapid Support Forces consolidates western positions and tests new supply routes. US-led Quad diplomacy, backed by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE, continues pressing a five-pillar framework that begins with a 90-day humanitarian truce, yet Sudanese army leadership has conditioned any pause on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. IGAD’s September 18 call for an immediate ceasefire and the Quintet’s Khartoum consultations reflect coordinated regional pressure, alongside US efforts to expand the UN arms embargo. Persistent hostilities, competing mediation tracks, and both parties’ refusal to accept core concessions sustain trader skepticism that a verifiable nationwide ceasefire will materialize quickly, though further SAF gains or external leverage could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$119,424結束日期
2026-01-01市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETIntensified fighting in North Kordofan and drone strikes across central Sudan have kept battlefield momentum with the Sudanese Armed Forces, while the Rapid Support Forces consolidates western positions and tests new supply routes. US-led Quad diplomacy, backed by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE, continues pressing a five-pillar framework that begins with a 90-day humanitarian truce, yet Sudanese army leadership has conditioned any pause on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. IGAD’s September 18 call for an immediate ceasefire and the Quintet’s Khartoum consultations reflect coordinated regional pressure, alongside US efforts to expand the UN arms embargo. Persistent hostilities, competing mediation tracks, and both parties’ refusal to accept core concessions sustain trader skepticism that a verifiable nationwide ceasefire will materialize quickly, though further SAF gains or external leverage could alter timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions