Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner leads the field for Washington's August 4 nonpartisan top-two primary in the 5th congressional district, with multiple Democratic and independent candidates including Carmela Conroy, Kevin Fagan, Richard Freudenberg, Andrew Bartleson, and Ann Marie Danimus competing for the two advancing spots. Recent polling shows Baumgartner holding double-digit leads over Democratic contenders, consistent with the district's Republican lean and his 2024 general election victory. The top-two format means party affiliation does not limit advancement, creating scenarios where two Republicans, two Democrats, or a split could emerge depending on vote consolidation among challengers. No major late developments have altered the candidate slate in the final weeks, and the primary outcome will determine the general election matchup on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-08-04
Michael Baumgartner
98%
Carmela Conroy
46%
Nate Powell
33%
Andrew Bartleson
5%
Kevin Fagan
3%
Ann Marie Danimus
2%
Bajun Mavalwalla
2%
David Womack
2%
馬修·海斯
1%
Kyle Ursey
1%
$4,315 交易量
Michael Baumgartner
$164 交易量
98%
Carmela Conroy
$747 交易量
46%
Nate Powell
$716 交易量
33%
Andrew Bartleson
$105 交易量
5%
Kevin Fagan
$257 交易量
3%
Ann Marie Danimus
$78 交易量
2%
Bajun Mavalwalla
$196 交易量
2%
David Womack
$201 交易量
2%
馬修·海斯
$1,052 交易量
1%
Kyle Ursey
$799 交易量
1%
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner leads the field for Washington's August 4 nonpartisan top-two primary in the 5th congressional district, with multiple Democratic and independent candidates including Carmela Conroy, Kevin Fagan, Richard Freudenberg, Andrew Bartleson, and Ann Marie Danimus competing for the two advancing spots. Recent polling shows Baumgartner holding double-digit leads over Democratic contenders, consistent with the district's Republican lean and his 2024 general election victory. The top-two format means party affiliation does not limit advancement, creating scenarios where two Republicans, two Democrats, or a split could emerge depending on vote consolidation among challengers. No major late developments have altered the candidate slate in the final weeks, and the primary outcome will determine the general election matchup on November 3.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
交易量
$4,315結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner leads the field for Washington's August 4 nonpartisan top-two primary in the 5th congressional district, with multiple Democratic and independent candidates including Carmela Conroy, Kevin Fagan, Richard Freudenberg, Andrew Bartleson, and Ann Marie Danimus competing for the two advancing spots. Recent polling shows Baumgartner holding double-digit leads over Democratic contenders, consistent with the district's Republican lean and his 2024 general election victory. The top-two format means party affiliation does not limit advancement, creating scenarios where two Republicans, two Democrats, or a split could emerge depending on vote consolidation among challengers. No major late developments have altered the candidate slate in the final weeks, and the primary outcome will determine the general election matchup on November 3.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$4,315結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner leads the field for Washington's August 4 nonpartisan top-two primary in the 5th congressional district, with multiple Democratic and independent candidates including Carmela Conroy, Kevin Fagan, Richard Freudenberg, Andrew Bartleson, and Ann Marie Danimus competing for the two advancing spots. Recent polling shows Baumgartner holding double-digit leads over Democratic contenders, consistent with the district's Republican lean and his 2024 general election victory. The top-two format means party affiliation does not limit advancement, creating scenarios where two Republicans, two Democrats, or a split could emerge depending on vote consolidation among challengers. No major late developments have altered the candidate slate in the final weeks, and the primary outcome will determine the general election matchup on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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