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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

4月 21

4月 21

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 28%

Beast 27%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 27%

Anaconda 26%

Polymarket
最新

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 28%

Beast 27%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 27%

Anaconda 26%

Polymarket
最新
Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$0 交易量

28%

Market icon

Beast

$0 交易量

27%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$0 交易量

27%

Market icon

Anaconda

$0 交易量

26%

Market icon

A Quiet Place Part II

$0 交易量

26%

Market icon

Untold: Jail Blazers

$0 交易量

26%

Market icon

Thrash

$0 交易量

26%

Market icon

Untold:拉瑪·奧多姆的生死

$51 交易量

3%

Market icon

Black and Blue

$51 交易量

3%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's explosive premiere has locked in as the undisputed #1 US Netflix movie this week with over 37 million views, thrusting holdovers into a nail-biting battle for #2 where The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson edges trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability on true-crime momentum from its recent emotional docuseries surge and prior chart peaks. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Beast trail at 27% each, leveraging evergreen family comedy appeal and Idris Elba-led action thrills amid daily volatility—Jumanji clings to daily #2, Beast #3—while Anaconda (26%), A Quiet Place Part II (26%), and Untold: Jail Blazers (26%) compete via monster nostalgia, horror suspense, and sports drama. Swing factors include weekend family viewing boosts and final streaming metrics before Tuesday's weekly Top 10 resolution.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$103
結束日期
2026-04-21
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's explosive premiere has locked in as the undisputed #1 US Netflix movie this week with over 37 million views, thrusting holdovers into a nail-biting battle for #2 where The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson edges trader consensus at 27.5% implied probability on true-crime momentum from its recent emotional docuseries surge and prior chart peaks. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Beast trail at 27% each, leveraging evergreen family comedy appeal and Idris Elba-led action thrills amid daily volatility—Jumanji clings to daily #2, Beast #3—while Anaconda (26%), A Quiet Place Part II (26%), and Untold: Jail Blazers (26%) compete via monster nostalgia, horror suspense, and sports drama. Swing factors include weekend family viewing boosts and final streaming metrics before Tuesday's weekly Top 10 resolution.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$103
結束日期
2026-04-21
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 28%, followed by "Beast" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beast" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.