Trader sentiment for Keir Starmer's remarks at the next Prime Minister's Questions on October 16 hinges on fallout from Labour's narrow win on the welfare bill, where over 50 MPs rebelled against the two-child benefit cap amendment, exposing party fractures. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch is poised to press Starmer on fiscal austerity measures like winter fuel payment cuts and rising national debt, echoing budget critiques. Recent PMQs saw Starmer pivot to Tory economic legacy, a tactic traders expect to recur amid stagnant polls. Upcoming Commons votes on spending could amplify defenses of restraint, shaping implied probabilities on defensive phrasing versus policy concessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Mr Speaker 20+ times
82%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
91%
Iran 3+ times
86%
Ireland
22%
Scotland
22%
Police
36%
Abuse
32%
Reform
78%
Tory
56%
Epstein
25%
Trump
27%
$1,322 交易量
Mr Speaker 20+ times
82%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
91%
Iran 3+ times
86%
Ireland
22%
Scotland
22%
Police
36%
Abuse
32%
Reform
78%
Tory
56%
Epstein
25%
Trump
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Keir Starmer's remarks at the next Prime Minister's Questions on October 16 hinges on fallout from Labour's narrow win on the welfare bill, where over 50 MPs rebelled against the two-child benefit cap amendment, exposing party fractures. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch is poised to press Starmer on fiscal austerity measures like winter fuel payment cuts and rising national debt, echoing budget critiques. Recent PMQs saw Starmer pivot to Tory economic legacy, a tactic traders expect to recur amid stagnant polls. Upcoming Commons votes on spending could amplify defenses of restraint, shaping implied probabilities on defensive phrasing versus policy concessions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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