Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal races, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader consensus favoring Hageman. Her background as a sitting U.S. representative and Trump-backed candidate further strengthens her position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state lawmaker who won his primary with about 79 percent. Recent endorsements, such as from the NRA, and limited general-election polling reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could narrow the race, though Wyoming’s partisan structure makes such changes improbable before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,782 交易量
$16,782 交易量
2026-11-02
哈里特·黑格曼（共和黨）
96%
詹姆斯·W·伯德（民主黨）
3%
$16,782 交易量
$16,782 交易量
2026-11-02
哈里特·黑格曼（共和黨）
$11,127 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·W·伯德（民主黨）
$5,655 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal races, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader consensus favoring Hageman. Her background as a sitting U.S. representative and Trump-backed candidate further strengthens her position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state lawmaker who won his primary with about 79 percent. Recent endorsements, such as from the NRA, and limited general-election polling reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could narrow the race, though Wyoming’s partisan structure makes such changes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,782結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal races, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader consensus favoring Hageman. Her background as a sitting U.S. representative and Trump-backed candidate further strengthens her position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state lawmaker who won his primary with about 79 percent. Recent endorsements, such as from the NRA, and limited general-election polling reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could narrow the race, though Wyoming’s partisan structure makes such changes improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,782結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETHarriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in federal races, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader consensus favoring Hageman. Her background as a sitting U.S. representative and Trump-backed candidate further strengthens her position against Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state lawmaker who won his primary with about 79 percent. Recent endorsements, such as from the NRA, and limited general-election polling reinforce the gap. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could narrow the race, though Wyoming’s partisan structure makes such changes improbable before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions