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Musk V Altman 預測與賠率

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Who will be featured on Petal?

Who will be featured on Petal?

50%

The Weeknd

$3.9K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2028年總統選舉贏家

2028年總統選舉贏家

21%

JD Vance

$642M 交易量

$663K today

$37M Liq.

977

Ends 超過 2 年內

2028年共和黨總統提名人

2028年共和黨總統提名人

39%

J.D. Vance

$666M 交易量

$331K today

$47M Liq.

429

Ends 超過 2 年內

2026年諾貝爾和平獎得主

2026年諾貝爾和平獎得主

11%

聯合國近東巴勒斯坦難民救濟和工程處

$21M 交易量

$73.0K today

$2M Liq.

194

Ends 3 個月內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

86%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$534K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

2026年12月31日最富有的人?

2026年12月31日最富有的人?

95%

埃隆·馬斯克

$2M 交易量

$128K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

22%

Donald Trump

$2.2K 交易量

$205K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$18.9K 交易量

$635K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 年內

SpaceX還是OpenAI的IPO市值更高?

SpaceX還是OpenAI的IPO市值更高?

90%

SpaceX

$9.8K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

5

Ends 超過 1 年內

12月31日的第三大富豪?

12月31日的第三大富豪?

26%

謝爾蓋·布林

$24.3K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

12月31日是第二富有的人?

12月31日是第二富有的人?

38%

拉里·佩奇

$45.4K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 11 active markets for Musk V Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will be featured on Petal?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SpaceX還是OpenAI的IPO市值更高?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2028年共和黨總統提名人,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2028年共和黨總統提名人,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Musk V Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.