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icon for 12月31日是第二富有的人?

12月31日是第二富有的人?

icon for 12月31日是第二富有的人?

12月31日是第二富有的人?

邁克爾·戴爾 64%

謝爾蓋·布林 48.0%

拉里·佩奇 46%

黃仁勳 21.9%

Polymarket

$47,611 交易量

邁克爾·戴爾 64%

謝爾蓋·布林 48.0%

拉里·佩奇 46%

黃仁勳 21.9%

Polymarket

$47,611 交易量

icon for 邁克爾·戴爾

邁克爾·戴爾

$0 交易量

64%

icon for 謝爾蓋·布林

謝爾蓋·布林

$7,769 交易量

48%

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$21,221 交易量

46%

icon for 黃仁勳

黃仁勳

$1,534 交易量

22%

icon for 史蒂夫·鮑爾默

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$1,317 交易量

22%

icon for 沃倫·巴菲特

沃倫·巴菲特

$2,000 交易量

21%

icon for 馬克·祖克柏

馬克·祖克柏

$718 交易量

10%

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$1,113 交易量

9%

icon for 貝佐斯

貝佐斯

$9,870 交易量

9%

icon for 貝爾納·阿爾諾

貝爾納·阿爾諾

$1,049 交易量

9%

icon for 馬斯克

馬斯克

$1,020 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Sergey Brin holds the edge in trader consensus for second-richest person by year-end, just ahead of fellow Google cofounder Larry Page, as their large Alphabet stakes face ongoing competition from Dell, Bezos, and others. Recent Bloomberg and Forbes snapshots show Page often ranking second behind Elon Musk with roughly $277–290 billion, while Brin trails slightly at $256–270 billion, with Michael Dell and Jeff Bezos swapping in and out of the top three amid sharp swings in their namesake companies’ shares. Alphabet’s AI-driven momentum and broader tech valuations remain the key swing factors, with any late-year earnings or market shifts likely to decide the final ordering among these closely matched contenders.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$47,611
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Sergey Brin holds the edge in trader consensus for second-richest person by year-end, just ahead of fellow Google cofounder Larry Page, as their large Alphabet stakes face ongoing competition from Dell, Bezos, and others. Recent Bloomberg and Forbes snapshots show Page often ranking second behind Elon Musk with roughly $277–290 billion, while Brin trails slightly at $256–270 billion, with Michael Dell and Jeff Bezos swapping in and out of the top three amid sharp swings in their namesake companies’ shares. Alphabet’s AI-driven momentum and broader tech valuations remain the key swing factors, with any late-year earnings or market shifts likely to decide the final ordering among these closely matched contenders.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$47,611
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"12月31日是第二富有的人?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "謝爾蓋·布林" at 65%, followed by "邁克爾·戴爾" at 64%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "12月31日是第二富有的人?" has generated $47.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "12月31日是第二富有的人?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "12月31日是第二富有的人?" is "謝爾蓋·布林" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "邁克爾·戴爾" at 64%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "12月31日是第二富有的人?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.