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icon for 12月31日的第三大富豪?

12月31日的第三大富豪?

icon for 12月31日的第三大富豪?

12月31日的第三大富豪?

拉里·埃里森 31.8%

拉里·佩奇 19.4%

Bernard Arnault 14.2%

沃倫·巴菲特 12.5%

Polymarket

$24,401 交易量

拉里·埃里森 31.8%

拉里·佩奇 19.4%

Bernard Arnault 14.2%

沃倫·巴菲特 12.5%

Polymarket

$24,401 交易量

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$416 交易量

32%

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$6,704 交易量

19%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$341 交易量

14%

icon for 沃倫·巴菲特

沃倫·巴菲特

$1,031 交易量

8%

icon for 傑夫·貝索斯

傑夫·貝索斯

$327 交易量

8%

icon for 埃隆·馬斯克

埃隆·馬斯克

$314 交易量

6%

icon for 馬克·祖克伯

馬克·祖克伯

$715 交易量

18%

icon for 史蒂夫·鮑爾默

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$13,421 交易量

7%

icon for 黃仁勳

黃仁勳

$760 交易量

36%

icon for 謝爾蓋·布林

謝爾蓋·布林

$371 交易量

46%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Tech billionaires dominate the race for third-richest status by year-end, with Sergey Brin edging ahead on Alphabet’s steady AI-driven gains and diversified holdings, while Jensen Huang trails closely behind amid Nvidia’s continued semiconductor momentum and Larry Ellison benefits from Oracle’s cloud expansion. These three cluster tightly because their fortunes hinge on correlated tech valuations rather than single events, leaving room for late-year swings from earnings reports, market rotations, or macroeconomic shifts. Lower odds for Mark Zuckerberg, Bernard Arnault, and Elon Musk reflect steadier but less explosive trajectories in social media, luxury goods, and automotive sectors, underscoring how traders weigh historical volatility and sector-specific catalysts when pricing year-end wealth snapshots.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$24,401
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Tech billionaires dominate the race for third-richest status by year-end, with Sergey Brin edging ahead on Alphabet’s steady AI-driven gains and diversified holdings, while Jensen Huang trails closely behind amid Nvidia’s continued semiconductor momentum and Larry Ellison benefits from Oracle’s cloud expansion. These three cluster tightly because their fortunes hinge on correlated tech valuations rather than single events, leaving room for late-year swings from earnings reports, market rotations, or macroeconomic shifts. Lower odds for Mark Zuckerberg, Bernard Arnault, and Elon Musk reflect steadier but less explosive trajectories in social media, luxury goods, and automotive sectors, underscoring how traders weigh historical volatility and sector-specific catalysts when pricing year-end wealth snapshots.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$24,401
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"12月31日的第三大富豪?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "謝爾蓋·布林" at 46%, followed by "黃仁勳" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "12月31日的第三大富豪?" has generated $24.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "12月31日的第三大富豪?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "12月31日的第三大富豪?" is "謝爾蓋·布林" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "黃仁勳" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "12月31日的第三大富豪?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.