Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with a 1-million-token context window, native vision, and new Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations that the company will release the next Kimi K model. The open-weight release quickly placed K3 behind only Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol on key benchmarks while leading in front-end coding tasks, fueling rapid API adoption and revenue growth to roughly $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. Recent enterprise initiatives, including the September 10 Kimi Enterprise Partner Program with major Chinese integrators, further reinforce Moonshot’s control over the series. No credible reports indicate another lab plans a competing “Kimi K” branded release, and typical frontier-model iteration timelines suggest Moonshot’s next update remains the clearest near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,352 交易量
2026-09-15
2026年9月15日
99%
2026年9月30日
100%
2026年12月31日
100%
$23,352 交易量
2026年9月15日
$4,527 交易量
99%
2026年9月30日
$11,810 交易量
100%
2026年12月31日
$5,088 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with a 1-million-token context window, native vision, and new Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations that the company will release the next Kimi K model. The open-weight release quickly placed K3 behind only Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol on key benchmarks while leading in front-end coding tasks, fueling rapid API adoption and revenue growth to roughly $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. Recent enterprise initiatives, including the September 10 Kimi Enterprise Partner Program with major Chinese integrators, further reinforce Moonshot’s control over the series. No credible reports indicate another lab plans a competing “Kimi K” branded release, and typical frontier-model iteration timelines suggest Moonshot’s next update remains the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
交易量
$23,352結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with a 1-million-token context window, native vision, and new Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations that the company will release the next Kimi K model. The open-weight release quickly placed K3 behind only Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol on key benchmarks while leading in front-end coding tasks, fueling rapid API adoption and revenue growth to roughly $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. Recent enterprise initiatives, including the September 10 Kimi Enterprise Partner Program with major Chinese integrators, further reinforce Moonshot’s control over the series. No credible reports indicate another lab plans a competing “Kimi K” branded release, and typical frontier-model iteration timelines suggest Moonshot’s next update remains the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$23,352結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETMoonshot AI’s July 2026 launch of Kimi K3—a 2.8-trillion-parameter sparse MoE model with a 1-million-token context window, native vision, and new Kimi Delta Attention architecture—has anchored trader expectations that the company will release the next Kimi K model. The open-weight release quickly placed K3 behind only Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol on key benchmarks while leading in front-end coding tasks, fueling rapid API adoption and revenue growth to roughly $1 billion annualized recurring revenue by August. Recent enterprise initiatives, including the September 10 Kimi Enterprise Partner Program with major Chinese integrators, further reinforce Moonshot’s control over the series. No credible reports indicate another lab plans a competing “Kimi K” branded release, and typical frontier-model iteration timelines suggest Moonshot’s next update remains the clearest near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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