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Arbguy

加入时间 7月 2024·28.4K 浏览量

betmoar-88600

$366.3K

持仓价值

$448.9K

最高赢利

977

预测

盈亏

$49,857.12
Polymarket

过去 24 小时

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 73.8¢
60,000.0 份额
$56,700.00$12,400.02 (27.99%)
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22.6¢
155,444.6 份额
$41,192.82$6,116.28 (17.44%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 89.3¢
35,583.2 份额
$35,565.42$3,785.13 (11.91%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

No 69.3¢
43,084.0 份额
$33,605.49$3,727.62 (12.48%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢
57,485.7 份额
$31,904.55$4,201.51 (15.17%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.6¢
35,402.4 份额
$30,623.10$1,370.92 (4.69%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 86.8¢
27,153.4 份额
$26,053.69$2,490.54 (10.57%)
icon for Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢
892,945.2 份额
$20,984.21$9,045.53 (75.77%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83¢
19,565.1 份额
$16,728.14$497.34 (3.06%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11¢
155,243.3 份额
$13,195.68-$3,887.60 (-22.76%)
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 41¢
26,637.9 份额
$11,054.74$133.19 (1.22%)
icon for Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢
1,616,696.8 份额
$10,508.53-$229.57 (-2.14%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢
12,796.4 份额
$7,228.67$860.86 (13.52%)
icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢
49,962.5 份额
$6,744.94-$36,724.99 (-84.48%)
icon for Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 65.8¢
24,389.8 份额
$6,463.31-$9,594.89 (-59.75%)
icon for Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 34¢
17,789.7 份额
$5,781.64-$266.84 (-4.41%)
icon for Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.1¢
106,708.3 份额
$5,175.35-$287.90 (-5.27%)
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

No 27.9¢
20,534.3 份额
$2,361.44-$3,369.70 (-58.8%)
icon for Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 54.1¢
3,309.8 份额
$1,770.76-$18.43 (-1.03%)
icon for Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 75¢
1,083.1 份额
$1,024.04$211.74 (26.07%)