In the ATP Challenger Busan on outdoor hard courts, world No. 198 Sho Shimabukuro faces No. 221 Ilia Simakin in the round of 32, a closely contested matchup reflecting trader consensus on even implied probabilities. Their head-to-head stands at 1-1 on hard courts, with Simakin's October 2025 Suzhou Challenger win via Shimabukuro's retirement (7-5, 3-2) as the most recent encounter, following Shimabukuro's straight-sets victory in Zhangjiagang that August. Both enter off recent losses—Shimabukuro to Naoya Honda in Yokkaichi qualifiers last month, Simakin to Pavel Kotov in Wuning—showing middling early-2026 hard-court form amid no reported injuries or withdrawals. Key factors include Shimabukuro's experience edge, Simakin's power from his 6'4" frame, and potential fatigue from qualifiers, with mild Busan weather unlikely to disrupt play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1st Set
This market refers on the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to “Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins the first set. It will resolve to “Simakin” if Ilia Simakin wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.In the ATP Challenger Busan on outdoor hard courts, world No. 198 Sho Shimabukuro faces No. 221 Ilia Simakin in the round of 32, a closely contested matchup reflecting trader consensus on even implied probabilities. Their head-to-head stands at 1-1 on hard courts, with Simakin's October 2025 Suzhou Challenger win via Shimabukuro's retirement (7-5, 3-2) as the most recent encounter, following Shimabukuro's straight-sets victory in Zhangjiagang that August. Both enter off recent losses—Shimabukuro to Naoya Honda in Yokkaichi qualifiers last month, Simakin to Pavel Kotov in Wuning—showing middling early-2026 hard-court form amid no reported injuries or withdrawals. Key factors include Shimabukuro's experience edge, Simakin's power from his 6'4" frame, and potential fatigue from qualifiers, with mild Busan weather unlikely to disrupt play.
This market refers on the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$1,491结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET1st Set
This market refers on the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to “Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins the first set. It will resolve to “Simakin” if Ilia Simakin wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.In the ATP Challenger Busan on outdoor hard courts, world No. 198 Sho Shimabukuro faces No. 221 Ilia Simakin in the round of 32, a closely contested matchup reflecting trader consensus on even implied probabilities. Their head-to-head stands at 1-1 on hard courts, with Simakin's October 2025 Suzhou Challenger win via Shimabukuro's retirement (7-5, 3-2) as the most recent encounter, following Shimabukuro's straight-sets victory in Zhangjiagang that August. Both enter off recent losses—Shimabukuro to Naoya Honda in Yokkaichi qualifiers last month, Simakin to Pavel Kotov in Wuning—showing middling early-2026 hard-court form amid no reported injuries or withdrawals. Key factors include Shimabukuro's experience edge, Simakin's power from his 6'4" frame, and potential fatigue from qualifiers, with mild Busan weather unlikely to disrupt play.
This market refers on the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin in the Busan, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$1,491结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ETIn the ATP Challenger Busan on outdoor hard courts, world No. 198 Sho Shimabukuro faces No. 221 Ilia Simakin in the round of 32, a closely contested matchup reflecting trader consensus on even implied probabilities. Their head-to-head stands at 1-1 on hard courts, with Simakin's October 2025 Suzhou Challenger win via Shimabukuro's retirement (7-5, 3-2) as the most recent encounter, following Shimabukuro's straight-sets victory in Zhangjiagang that August. Both enter off recent losses—Shimabukuro to Naoya Honda in Yokkaichi qualifiers last month, Simakin to Pavel Kotov in Wuning—showing middling early-2026 hard-court form amid no reported injuries or withdrawals. Key factors include Shimabukuro's experience edge, Simakin's power from his 6'4" frame, and potential fatigue from qualifiers, with mild Busan weather unlikely to disrupt play.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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