OpenAI's ChatGPT web service experienced a brief outage on April 6, 2026, delivering blank responses to users for about two hours while APIs and mobile apps remained operational, fueling trader consensus on near-term disruptions in prediction markets. This incident echoes February's cluster of downtime events amid scaling pressures from 900 million weekly active users, highlighting ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability for large language models under explosive demand. Competitors like Anthropic's Claude have faced similar infrastructure hiccups, such as AWS-related outages in March. Traders eye upcoming model tweaks in OpenAI's release notes or peak usage spikes as potential catalysts, with historical patterns of minor disruptions every few weeks underscoring persistent technical hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
2026-04-10
April 10
24%
April 17
62%
$1,066 交易量
April 10
$341 交易量
24%
April 17
$725 交易量
62%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT web service experienced a brief outage on April 6, 2026, delivering blank responses to users for about two hours while APIs and mobile apps remained operational, fueling trader consensus on near-term disruptions in prediction markets. This incident echoes February's cluster of downtime events amid scaling pressures from 900 million weekly active users, highlighting ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability for large language models under explosive demand. Competitors like Anthropic's Claude have faced similar infrastructure hiccups, such as AWS-related outages in March. Traders eye upcoming model tweaks in OpenAI's release notes or peak usage spikes as potential catalysts, with historical patterns of minor disruptions every few weeks underscoring persistent technical hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
交易量
$1,066结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT web service experienced a brief outage on April 6, 2026, delivering blank responses to users for about two hours while APIs and mobile apps remained operational, fueling trader consensus on near-term disruptions in prediction markets. This incident echoes February's cluster of downtime events amid scaling pressures from 900 million weekly active users, highlighting ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability for large language models under explosive demand. Competitors like Anthropic's Claude have faced similar infrastructure hiccups, such as AWS-related outages in March. Traders eye upcoming model tweaks in OpenAI's release notes or peak usage spikes as potential catalysts, with historical patterns of minor disruptions every few weeks underscoring persistent technical hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,066结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT web service experienced a brief outage on April 6, 2026, delivering blank responses to users for about two hours while APIs and mobile apps remained operational, fueling trader consensus on near-term disruptions in prediction markets. This incident echoes February's cluster of downtime events amid scaling pressures from 900 million weekly active users, highlighting ongoing challenges in maintaining reliability for large language models under explosive demand. Competitors like Anthropic's Claude have faced similar infrastructure hiccups, such as AWS-related outages in March. Traders eye upcoming model tweaks in OpenAI's release notes or peak usage spikes as potential catalysts, with historical patterns of minor disruptions every few weeks underscoring persistent technical hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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