Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from March 20-27, 2026, at a high volume, with 80-99 posts leading at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 100-119 (23.5%) and 60-79 (20.5%). This clustering reflects his consistent historical pattern of 10-15 daily posts during active periods, extrapolated from 2024 campaign surges exceeding 100 weekly tallies amid legal battles and rallies. The tight race stems from uncertainty over 2026 midterms buildup, potential White House schedule, or global events that could amplify or mute his platform engagement. Separation may arise from early 2026 announcements on legislative pushes, foreign summits, or personal health updates, as traders weigh sustained prolificacy against any moderation in presidential routine.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于80-99 31%
100-119 24%
60-79 20%
120-139 17%
少于20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
5%
60-79
20%
80-99
31%
100-119
24%
120-139
17%
140-159
11%
160-179
10%
180-199
7%
200+
4%
80-99 31%
100-119 24%
60-79 20%
120-139 17%
少于20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
5%
60-79
20%
80-99
31%
100-119
24%
120-139
17%
140-159
11%
160-179
10%
180-199
7%
200+
4%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from March 20-27, 2026, at a high volume, with 80-99 posts leading at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 100-119 (23.5%) and 60-79 (20.5%). This clustering reflects his consistent historical pattern of 10-15 daily posts during active periods, extrapolated from 2024 campaign surges exceeding 100 weekly tallies amid legal battles and rallies. The tight race stems from uncertainty over 2026 midterms buildup, potential White House schedule, or global events that could amplify or mute his platform engagement. Separation may arise from early 2026 announcements on legislative pushes, foreign summits, or personal health updates, as traders weigh sustained prolificacy against any moderation in presidential routine.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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