Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 32.4%
20-30年 31.8%
10-20年 15.6%
30年以上 7.6%
$911,701 交易量
$911,701 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
32%
少于5年
6%
5-10年
5%
10-20年
16%
20-30年
32%
30年以上
8%
无监禁时间 32.4%
20-30年 31.8%
10-20年 15.6%
30年以上 7.6%
$911,701 交易量
$911,701 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$327,744 交易量
32%
少于5年
$118,752 交易量
6%
5-10年
$69,253 交易量
5%
10-20年
$146,873 交易量
16%
20-30年
$185,639 交易量
32%
30年以上
$63,441 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$911,701结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$911,701结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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