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icon for Taylor Swift “零号病人”第一周直播?

Taylor Swift “零号病人”第一周直播?

icon for Taylor Swift “零号病人”第一周直播?

Taylor Swift “零号病人”第一周直播?

最新
2026-10-02
Polymarket

$0 交易量

Polymarket

5000万+

$0 交易量

75%

6000万+

$0 交易量

50%

7000万+

$0 交易量

50%

8000万+

$0 交易量

50%

9000万以上

$0 交易量

50%

1亿+

$0 交易量

50%

"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Taylor Swift’s “Patient Zero,” the lead single from the four-track “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore” dropping September 25, enters a market primed by her record-shattering prior album and intense fan mobilization. The 2025 release posted the largest first-week units in history at over 4 million, driven by 681 million streams alone, establishing a high baseline for any new Swift material. Limited-edition CD variants with acoustic and piano versions, plus physical pre-order windows, add collector incentives that typically boost early consumption. The release coincides with Swift’s inaugural Artistic Director honor at the September 27 MTV VMAs, sustaining visibility amid post-wedding momentum. Traders weigh these factors against typical single versus album-stream differentials and historical patterns for Swift’s post-album drops when assessing thresholds on Spotify’s first-week global totals.

"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.

If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-02
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Taylor Swift’s “Patient Zero,” the lead single from the four-track “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore” dropping September 25, enters a market primed by her record-shattering prior album and intense fan mobilization. The 2025 release posted the largest first-week units in history at over 4 million, driven by 681 million streams alone, establishing a high baseline for any new Swift material. Limited-edition CD variants with acoustic and piano versions, plus physical pre-order windows, add collector incentives that typically boost early consumption. The release coincides with Swift’s inaugural Artistic Director honor at the September 27 MTV VMAs, sustaining visibility amid post-wedding momentum. Traders weigh these factors against typical single versus album-stream differentials and historical patterns for Swift’s post-album drops when assessing thresholds on Spotify’s first-week global totals.

"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.

If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-02
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

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"Taylor Swift “零号病人”第一周直播?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"5000万+",概率为 99%,其次是"8000万+",概率为 99%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Taylor Swift “零号病人”第一周直播?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 23, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

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