Skip to main content

如需在美国交易,请访问 polymarket.us

icon for 本周末票房排名第一?

本周末票房排名第一?

icon for 本周末票房排名第一?

本周末票房排名第一?

生化危机 70%

复仇者联盟:终局之战安可版 28%

Primetime 2.8%

Heart of the Beast 1.5%

Polymarket
最新

生化危机 70%

复仇者联盟:终局之战安可版 28%

Primetime 2.8%

Heart of the Beast 1.5%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 复仇者联盟:终局之战安可版

复仇者联盟:终局之战安可版

$734 交易量

28%

icon for 生化危机

生化危机

$1,351 交易量

70%

icon for Primetime

Primetime

$364 交易量

3%

icon for Heart of the Beast

Heart of the Beast

$281 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Resident Evil's dominant $60 million opening the prior weekend, the franchise's best ever and a career high for director Zach Cregger, positions it as the clear frontrunner to repeat at number one. Strong word-of-mouth, a B+ CinemaScore, and typical horror hold patterns support trader consensus around its 74% implied probability, as second-weekend drops often leave it above $25 million. New wide releases including Heart of the Beast, Forgotten Island, and Primetime carry solid but uncertain tracking in the mid-teens, while the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release projects around $20 million-plus yet faces limited theatrical footprint. Market-implied odds reflect these competitive dynamics and the tight window before final grosses lock.

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,727
结束日期
2026-09-27
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Resident Evil's dominant $60 million opening the prior weekend, the franchise's best ever and a career high for director Zach Cregger, positions it as the clear frontrunner to repeat at number one. Strong word-of-mouth, a B+ CinemaScore, and typical horror hold patterns support trader consensus around its 74% implied probability, as second-weekend drops often leave it above $25 million. New wide releases including Heart of the Beast, Forgotten Island, and Primetime carry solid but uncertain tracking in the mid-teens, while the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release projects around $20 million-plus yet faces limited theatrical footprint. Market-implied odds reflect these competitive dynamics and the tight window before final grosses lock.

This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,727
结束日期
2026-09-27
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"本周末票房排名第一?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"生化危机",概率为 70%,其次是"复仇者联盟:终局之战安可版",概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 70¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 70%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"本周末票房排名第一?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 23, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"本周末票房排名第一?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"本周末票房排名第一?"的当前领先者是"生化危机",概率为 70%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 70%。紧随其后的结果是"复仇者联盟:终局之战安可版",概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"本周末票房排名第一?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。