Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,085 交易量
$16,085 交易量
2026-11-02
乔希·格林（民主党）
97%
加里·科德里（共和党）
2%
$16,085 交易量
$16,085 交易量
2026-11-02
乔希·格林（民主党）
$7,024 交易量
97%
加里·科德里（共和党）
$9,061 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$16,085结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,085结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Josh Green holds a commanding position in the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial race, reflected in the 96.8% trader consensus, owing to his strong primary performance with nearly 89% of the Democratic vote in August 2026 and the state's consistent Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and forecasts rate the contest Solid Democratic based on the partisan voting index and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Gary Cordery, the Republican nominee who secured his primary with about 76% support, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising and the absence of recent general election polling showing meaningful shifts. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking developments such as significant scandals or health events affecting the incumbent before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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