Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest KNMI forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance showing Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 12-14°C, with 13°C leading at 30% implied probability amid model spread. Recent runs indicate a weak low-pressure system approaching from the northwest, potentially increasing cloud cover and showers to limit peaks at 11-12°C (17-25% odds), while transient ridging could push to 14°C (20%). This differentiates outcomes, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary layer mixing amplify 1-2°C variances typical in spring volatility. Historical April highs average 12°C, reinforcing caution. New KNMI updates and model refreshes expected by April 18 afternoon may resolve lingering uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 19?
13°C 30%
12°C 25%
14°C 19%
11°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
25%
13°C
30%
14°C
19%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 30%
12°C 25%
14°C 19%
11°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
8°C or below
$165 交易量
1%
9°C
$18 交易量
3%
10°C
$20 交易量
3%
11°C
$0 交易量
15%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$4 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$13 交易量
7%
16°C
$24 交易量
8%
17°C
$24 交易量
2%
18°C or higher
$169 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest KNMI forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance showing Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 12-14°C, with 13°C leading at 30% implied probability amid model spread. Recent runs indicate a weak low-pressure system approaching from the northwest, potentially increasing cloud cover and showers to limit peaks at 11-12°C (17-25% odds), while transient ridging could push to 14°C (20%). This differentiates outcomes, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary layer mixing amplify 1-2°C variances typical in spring volatility. Historical April highs average 12°C, reinforcing caution. New KNMI updates and model refreshes expected by April 18 afternoon may resolve lingering uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
交易量
$432结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest KNMI forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance showing Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 12-14°C, with 13°C leading at 30% implied probability amid model spread. Recent runs indicate a weak low-pressure system approaching from the northwest, potentially increasing cloud cover and showers to limit peaks at 11-12°C (17-25% odds), while transient ridging could push to 14°C (20%). This differentiates outcomes, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary layer mixing amplify 1-2°C variances typical in spring volatility. Historical April highs average 12°C, reinforcing caution. New KNMI updates and model refreshes expected by April 18 afternoon may resolve lingering uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$432结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest KNMI forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance showing Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 12-14°C, with 13°C leading at 30% implied probability amid model spread. Recent runs indicate a weak low-pressure system approaching from the northwest, potentially increasing cloud cover and showers to limit peaks at 11-12°C (17-25% odds), while transient ridging could push to 14°C (20%). This differentiates outcomes, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary layer mixing amplify 1-2°C variances typical in spring volatility. Historical April highs average 12°C, reinforcing caution. New KNMI updates and model refreshes expected by April 18 afternoon may resolve lingering uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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