Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, driving the 88% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher as traders discount colder outcomes. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged sharply on mild conditions from southerly airflow and weakening cold fronts, surging odds for warmer thresholds from mid-30s to near-90% while collapsing sub-12°C shares. Historical early-April highs average 15–17°C, with low ensemble spread signaling high confidence despite minor precipitation risks; final resolution hinges on official Esenboğa Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 7%
10°C 1.2%
9°C 1.0%
$27,097 交易量
$27,097 交易量
2026-04-04
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C or higher
88%
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 7%
10°C 1.2%
9°C 1.0%
$27,097 交易量
$27,097 交易量
2026-04-04
2°C or below
$3,806 交易量
<1%
3°C
$2,899 交易量
<1%
4°C
$3,253 交易量
<1%
5°C
$3,086 交易量
<1%
6°C
$2,792 交易量
<1%
7°C
$3,449 交易量
<1%
8°C
$2,452 交易量
<1%
9°C
$1,458 交易量
1%
10°C
$1,299 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,037 交易量
7%
12°C or higher
$1,678 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, driving the 88% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher as traders discount colder outcomes. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged sharply on mild conditions from southerly airflow and weakening cold fronts, surging odds for warmer thresholds from mid-30s to near-90% while collapsing sub-12°C shares. Historical early-April highs average 15–17°C, with low ensemble spread signaling high confidence despite minor precipitation risks; final resolution hinges on official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
交易量
$27,097结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, driving the 88% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher as traders discount colder outcomes. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged sharply on mild conditions from southerly airflow and weakening cold fronts, surging odds for warmer thresholds from mid-30s to near-90% while collapsing sub-12°C shares. Historical early-April highs average 15–17°C, with low ensemble spread signaling high confidence despite minor precipitation risks; final resolution hinges on official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,097结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ETLatest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Ankara's highest temperature on April 4 at 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers, driving the 88% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher as traders discount colder outcomes. Over the past 48 hours, model runs have converged sharply on mild conditions from southerly airflow and weakening cold fronts, surging odds for warmer thresholds from mid-30s to near-90% while collapsing sub-12°C shares. Historical early-April highs average 15–17°C, with low ensemble spread signaling high confidence despite minor precipitation risks; final resolution hinges on official Esenboğa Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题