Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 5, aligning with the market's leading implied probability and recent ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 13°C, as cloud cover and southerly winds moderate highs amid spring variability. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus for mid-teens Celsius, tempered by ensemble spreads—GFS slightly cooler at 13°C versus MGM's 14°C—due to uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing. Historical April averages near 16°C provide context, but current cool anomaly from recent showers keeps lower outcomes viable. Watch for daily MGM updates and new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow, which could refine the outlook as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
14°C 30%
15°C 22%
13°C 22%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
6%
13°C
22%
14°C
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
10%
14°C 30%
15°C 22%
13°C 22%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C or below
$449 交易量
<1%
8°C
$734 交易量
<1%
9°C
$896 交易量
1%
10°C
$214 交易量
1%
11°C
$244 交易量
3%
12°C
$306 交易量
6%
13°C
$671 交易量
22%
14°C
$298 交易量
30%
15°C
$376 交易量
22%
16°C
$347 交易量
18%
17°C or higher
$547 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 5, aligning with the market's leading implied probability and recent ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 13°C, as cloud cover and southerly winds moderate highs amid spring variability. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus for mid-teens Celsius, tempered by ensemble spreads—GFS slightly cooler at 13°C versus MGM's 14°C—due to uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing. Historical April averages near 16°C provide context, but current cool anomaly from recent showers keeps lower outcomes viable. Watch for daily MGM updates and new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow, which could refine the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,072结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 5, aligning with the market's leading implied probability and recent ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 13°C, as cloud cover and southerly winds moderate highs amid spring variability. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus for mid-teens Celsius, tempered by ensemble spreads—GFS slightly cooler at 13°C versus MGM's 14°C—due to uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing. Historical April averages near 16°C provide context, but current cool anomaly from recent showers keeps lower outcomes viable. Watch for daily MGM updates and new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow, which could refine the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,072结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTurkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a maximum temperature of 14°C at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 5, aligning with the market's leading implied probability and recent ECMWF/GFS ensemble means clustering around 13°C, as cloud cover and southerly winds moderate highs amid spring variability. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus for mid-teens Celsius, tempered by ensemble spreads—GFS slightly cooler at 13°C versus MGM's 14°C—due to uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing. Historical April averages near 16°C provide context, but current cool anomaly from recent showers keeps lower outcomes viable. Watch for daily MGM updates and new 00Z/12Z runs tomorrow, which could refine the outlook as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题