Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR). INMET and METAR reports confirm the peak reached 29°C around mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and typical early autumn stability in southeastern Brazil, where monthly averages hover near 25-26°C. This positioning reflects verified measurements up to local midnight, precluding higher bins. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from authorities like INMET, though automated readings minimize such risks; no further updates expected as the event has passed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日圣保罗的最高温度？
4月2日圣保罗的最高温度？
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$89,485 交易量
$89,485 交易量
2026-04-02
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$89,485 交易量
$89,485 交易量
2026-04-02
29°C
$13,446 交易量
100%
30°C
$10,136 交易量
<1%
31°C
$10,773 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,677 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$2,567 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR). INMET and METAR reports confirm the peak reached 29°C around mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and typical early autumn stability in southeastern Brazil, where monthly averages hover near 25-26°C. This positioning reflects verified measurements up to local midnight, precluding higher bins. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from authorities like INMET, though automated readings minimize such risks; no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$89,485结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR). INMET and METAR reports confirm the peak reached 29°C around mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and typical early autumn stability in southeastern Brazil, where monthly averages hover near 25-26°C. This positioning reflects verified measurements up to local midnight, precluding higher bins. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from authorities like INMET, though automated readings minimize such risks; no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,485结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 29°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on April 2, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR). INMET and METAR reports confirm the peak reached 29°C around mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and typical early autumn stability in southeastern Brazil, where monthly averages hover near 25-26°C. This positioning reflects verified measurements up to local midnight, precluding higher bins. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from authorities like INMET, though automated readings minimize such risks; no further updates expected as the event has passed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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