Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 52-53°F high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, driven by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data recording a peak of 53°F around 2:53 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected 50-53°F highs under persistent marine layer cloud cover typical for early April in the Pacific Northwest, well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 57°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-preliminary data adjustment in the National Weather Service's daily climate summary—are highly improbable given ASOS reliability and quality controls. Final CLI report expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日西雅图最高气温？
4月2日西雅图最高气温？
52-53°F 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58°F或更高 <1%
$154,147 交易量
$154,147 交易量
2026-04-02
52-53°F
100%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F或更高
<1%
52-53°F 100.0%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
58°F或更高 <1%
$154,147 交易量
$154,147 交易量
2026-04-02
52-53°F
$18,215 交易量
100%
54-55°F
$14,143 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$14,965 交易量
<1%
58°F或更高
$10,659 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 52-53°F high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, driven by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data recording a peak of 53°F around 2:53 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected 50-53°F highs under persistent marine layer cloud cover typical for early April in the Pacific Northwest, well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 57°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-preliminary data adjustment in the National Weather Service's daily climate summary—are highly improbable given ASOS reliability and quality controls. Final CLI report expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$154,147结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 52-53°F high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, driven by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data recording a peak of 53°F around 2:53 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected 50-53°F highs under persistent marine layer cloud cover typical for early April in the Pacific Northwest, well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 57°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-preliminary data adjustment in the National Weather Service's daily climate summary—are highly improbable given ASOS reliability and quality controls. Final CLI report expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$154,147结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 52-53°F high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 2, driven by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data recording a peak of 53°F around 2:53 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected 50-53°F highs under persistent marine layer cloud cover typical for early April in the Pacific Northwest, well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 57°F. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-preliminary data adjustment in the National Weather Service's daily climate summary—are highly improbable given ASOS reliability and quality controls. Final CLI report expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题