Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2 reached exactly 28°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as trader consensus solidifies around verified data. Preceding forecasts from SMN and models anticipated maxima near 26–28°C amid unstable conditions with showers and high humidity suppressing further intensification, aligning with typical early autumn patterns where average April highs hover around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if instrument errors or quality control flags emerge in final SMN bulletins, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of routine readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
4月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,736 交易量
$155,736 交易量
2026-04-02
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,736 交易量
$155,736 交易量
2026-04-02
28°C
$34,666 交易量
100%
29°C
$12,280 交易量
<1%
30°C
$14,674 交易量
<1%
31°C
$9,923 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,382 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$7,390 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2 reached exactly 28°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as trader consensus solidifies around verified data. Preceding forecasts from SMN and models anticipated maxima near 26–28°C amid unstable conditions with showers and high humidity suppressing further intensification, aligning with typical early autumn patterns where average April highs hover around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if instrument errors or quality control flags emerge in final SMN bulletins, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of routine readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$155,736结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2 reached exactly 28°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as trader consensus solidifies around verified data. Preceding forecasts from SMN and models anticipated maxima near 26–28°C amid unstable conditions with showers and high humidity suppressing further intensification, aligning with typical early autumn patterns where average April highs hover around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if instrument errors or quality control flags emerge in final SMN bulletins, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of routine readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$155,736结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETOfficial observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2 reached exactly 28°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as trader consensus solidifies around verified data. Preceding forecasts from SMN and models anticipated maxima near 26–28°C amid unstable conditions with showers and high humidity suppressing further intensification, aligning with typical early autumn patterns where average April highs hover around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could arise from rare data revisions if instrument errors or quality control flags emerge in final SMN bulletins, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of routine readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题