Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds evenly clustered around 27-36°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on cloud cover and convective activity over the Java Sea. BMKG guidance typically projects April highs near the 31-33°C climatological average for the tropical maritime climate, but lingering end-of-rainy-season instability—marked by potential afternoon thunderstorms—could suppress peaks via reduced insolation or evaporative cooling, while urban heat island effects and sea breezes might push toward 34°C+ under clearer skies. Recent BMKG updates note cloudy conditions with 25-33°C ranges in early April, underscoring daily variability; watch tomorrow's model refresh and BMKG bulletin for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Halim Perdanakusuma station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
28°C 27%
26°C or below 26%
27°C 26%
29°C 26%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
14%
28°C 27%
26°C or below 26%
27°C 26%
29°C 26%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds evenly clustered around 27-36°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on cloud cover and convective activity over the Java Sea. BMKG guidance typically projects April highs near the 31-33°C climatological average for the tropical maritime climate, but lingering end-of-rainy-season instability—marked by potential afternoon thunderstorms—could suppress peaks via reduced insolation or evaporative cooling, while urban heat island effects and sea breezes might push toward 34°C+ under clearer skies. Recent BMKG updates note cloudy conditions with 25-33°C ranges in early April, underscoring daily variability; watch tomorrow's model refresh and BMKG bulletin for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Halim Perdanakusuma station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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