National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus, including GFS and NAM guidance, project Chicago O'Hare highs reaching 57-60°F on April 3 under southwesterly winds ushering warm air advection following April 1's anomalously cold 39°F maximum—14°F below the 54°F climatological normal. This strong market-implied 94.5% probability for 58°F or higher captures trader sentiment aligned with observed morning temperatures in the upper 30s°F rapidly climbing amid mostly cloudy skies and limited precipitation risk until evening showers. Diurnal heating and upper-level ridging support this positioning, though realistic challenges include persistent low-level clouds or early thunderstorm development capping highs below 58°F; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 3?
58°F or higher 95.8%
56-57°F 2.8%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$95,986 交易量
$95,986 交易量
2026-04-03
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
3%
58°F or higher
96%
58°F or higher 95.8%
56-57°F 2.8%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$95,986 交易量
$95,986 交易量
2026-04-03
39°F or below
$6,124 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$4,990 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$4,848 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$6,381 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$5,702 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$12,641 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$22,929 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$6,954 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$8,605 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$7,114 交易量
3%
58°F or higher
$9,733 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus, including GFS and NAM guidance, project Chicago O'Hare highs reaching 57-60°F on April 3 under southwesterly winds ushering warm air advection following April 1's anomalously cold 39°F maximum—14°F below the 54°F climatological normal. This strong market-implied 94.5% probability for 58°F or higher captures trader sentiment aligned with observed morning temperatures in the upper 30s°F rapidly climbing amid mostly cloudy skies and limited precipitation risk until evening showers. Diurnal heating and upper-level ridging support this positioning, though realistic challenges include persistent low-level clouds or early thunderstorm development capping highs below 58°F; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$95,986结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus, including GFS and NAM guidance, project Chicago O'Hare highs reaching 57-60°F on April 3 under southwesterly winds ushering warm air advection following April 1's anomalously cold 39°F maximum—14°F below the 54°F climatological normal. This strong market-implied 94.5% probability for 58°F or higher captures trader sentiment aligned with observed morning temperatures in the upper 30s°F rapidly climbing amid mostly cloudy skies and limited precipitation risk until evening showers. Diurnal heating and upper-level ridging support this positioning, though realistic challenges include persistent low-level clouds or early thunderstorm development capping highs below 58°F; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95,986结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus, including GFS and NAM guidance, project Chicago O'Hare highs reaching 57-60°F on April 3 under southwesterly winds ushering warm air advection following April 1's anomalously cold 39°F maximum—14°F below the 54°F climatological normal. This strong market-implied 94.5% probability for 58°F or higher captures trader sentiment aligned with observed morning temperatures in the upper 30s°F rapidly climbing amid mostly cloudy skies and limited precipitation risk until evening showers. Diurnal heating and upper-level ridging support this positioning, though realistic challenges include persistent low-level clouds or early thunderstorm development capping highs below 58°F; monitor NWS hourly updates through afternoon for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题