Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF indicate Chicago O'Hare's high temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-53°F, mirroring trader consensus with 48-49°F and 50-51°F each at 23-24% implied probability amid high uncertainty. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough over the Great Lakes fostering cool northerly winds and below-normal temperatures—versus the 55.2°F April 6 climatological average—following a chilly early April with recent highs in the 40s. Model spread arises from differing depictions of cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing ahead of an incoming system, with minor refinements in overnight runs slightly favoring cooler outcomes. Traders await afternoon 12Z model updates and NWS Chicago forecast discussions for potential shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
50-51°F 26%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
3%
60°F or higher
2%
50-51°F 26%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
41°F or below
$757 交易量
1%
42-43°F
$100 交易量
1%
44-45°F
$108 交易量
9%
46-47°F
$119 交易量
18%
48-49°F
$112 交易量
23%
50-51°F
$161 交易量
26%
52-53°F
$149 交易量
18%
54-55°F
$223 交易量
9%
56-57°F
$154 交易量
7%
58-59°F
$278 交易量
3%
60°F or higher
$939 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF indicate Chicago O'Hare's high temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-53°F, mirroring trader consensus with 48-49°F and 50-51°F each at 23-24% implied probability amid high uncertainty. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough over the Great Lakes fostering cool northerly winds and below-normal temperatures—versus the 55.2°F April 6 climatological average—following a chilly early April with recent highs in the 40s. Model spread arises from differing depictions of cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing ahead of an incoming system, with minor refinements in overnight runs slightly favoring cooler outcomes. Traders await afternoon 12Z model updates and NWS Chicago forecast discussions for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,099结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF indicate Chicago O'Hare's high temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-53°F, mirroring trader consensus with 48-49°F and 50-51°F each at 23-24% implied probability amid high uncertainty. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough over the Great Lakes fostering cool northerly winds and below-normal temperatures—versus the 55.2°F April 6 climatological average—following a chilly early April with recent highs in the 40s. Model spread arises from differing depictions of cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing ahead of an incoming system, with minor refinements in overnight runs slightly favoring cooler outcomes. Traders await afternoon 12Z model updates and NWS Chicago forecast discussions for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,099结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF indicate Chicago O'Hare's high temperature on April 6 clustering around 48-53°F, mirroring trader consensus with 48-49°F and 50-51°F each at 23-24% implied probability amid high uncertainty. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level trough over the Great Lakes fostering cool northerly winds and below-normal temperatures—versus the 55.2°F April 6 climatological average—following a chilly early April with recent highs in the 40s. Model spread arises from differing depictions of cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing ahead of an incoming system, with minor refinements in overnight runs slightly favoring cooler outcomes. Traders await afternoon 12Z model updates and NWS Chicago forecast discussions for potential shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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