Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
19°C 55%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 16.7%
18°C <1%
$117,674 交易量
$117,674 交易量
2026-04-03
18°C
<1%
19°C
55%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
17%
19°C 55%
20°C 28%
21°C or higher 16.7%
18°C <1%
$117,674 交易量
$117,674 交易量
2026-04-03
18°C
$16,491 交易量
<1%
19°C
$7,221 交易量
55%
20°C
$6,955 交易量
28%
21°C or higher
$9,001 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$117,674结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$117,674结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Japan Meteorological Agency's latest short-term forecast projects Tokyo's highest temperature at 19°C today under mostly clear skies with light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 20°C. Morning observations align with this trajectory, following yesterday's cooler 16°C high amid cloud cover, while JMA's April 2 one-month outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 17°C at the official Tokyo station, but current high-pressure influence and above-average solar insolation boost potential for 19–20°C peaks. Updated hourly guidance this afternoon could shift odds, with resolution based on JMA's verified daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题